Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/22/2022

The Miami Marlins (43-49) hope to avoid their fifth straight defeat when they visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-54) Friday at 7:05 PM ET. The Marlins are listed as -127 favorites to snap their losing skid, while the Pirates are +108 underdogs. Miami’s Braxton Garrett gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Zach Thompson.

Marlins vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +108 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+108) and Over (8.5)

Marlins vs. Pirates Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Zach Thompson
• Game Day: Friday, July 22, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Braxton Garrett

• Garrett (1-3 with a 3.70 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 41 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his ninth of the season.
• In his most recent appearance on Thursday, July 14, the left-hander went six scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates while surrendering two hits.
• The 24-year-old has a 3.70 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in eight games this season, while giving up a batting average of .255 to opposing hitters.
• Garrett is trying to collect his third quality start of the season.
• Garrett will look to prolong a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing).
• He will take the hill against a Pirates team that is hitting .222 as a unit (28th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .370 (28th in MLB) with 97 total home runs (15th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Pirates this season, Garrett has thrown six innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out 11.

Pirates Starter Zach Thompson

• Thompson (3-6) will take to the mound for the Pirates and make his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, July 14, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.09 and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .250 in 16 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start two times in 15 starts this season.
• Thompson has started 15 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
• The Marlins have scored 371 runs this season, which ranks 24th in MLB. They have 726 hits, 22nd in baseball, with 90 home runs (19th in the league).
• The Marlins have gone 4-for-23 with a double and an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 42 times this season and won 25, or 59.5%, of those games.
• Miami has a record of 17-14 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -127 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of their 92 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 43-49-0 ATS in their 92 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been victorious in 30, or 39%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won 26 of 69 games when listed as at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 38 of 94 chances this season.
• The Pirates are 48-46-0 against the spread in their 94 games that had a posted line this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Garrett Cooper is the Marlins best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .282 clip along with seven homers and 40 RBI.
• In all of the majors, Cooper ranks 154th in homers and 78th in RBI.
• Jesus Aguilar is batting .246 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 21 walks.
• Aguilar ranks 78th in home runs in MLB, and 102nd in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is batting .234 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 17 walks.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .206 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 31 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .251 with 16 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 34 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .325.
• In all of the majors, Hayes ranks 239th in homers and 166th in RBI.
• Hayes carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .256 with a double, a triple, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
• Daniel Vogelbach has totaled 34 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Vogelbach is 65th in home runs and 123rd in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Michael Chavis is hitting .240 with 10 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 13 walks.
• Ben Gamel is hitting .249 with 11 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 23 walks.