Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

The Miami Marlins will look to pick up their 45th win of the season when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-55) Saturday. The game begins at 7:05 PM ET, with the Marlins listed as -110 favorites on the moneyline. Miami’s Max Meyer gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Jose Quintana.

Marlins vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at -108 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (-108) and Over (8.5)

Marlins vs. Pirates Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Max Meyer
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: José Quintana
• Game Day: Saturday, July 23, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Max Meyer

• Meyer (0-1) pitches for the Marlins to make his second start of the season.
• The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• Over his one appearances this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of .318 against him. He has an 8.44 ERA and averages 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
• He will face a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in the league with 341 runs while batting .220 as a unit. It has a collective .368 slugging percentage (28th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 98 home runs (15th in MLB).

Pirates Starter José Quintana

• The Pirates’ Quintana (2-5) will make his 19th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, July 16, when he threw five innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.79 and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .256 in 18 games this season.
• In 18 starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
• Quintana has 12 starts of five or more innings this season in 18 chances. He averages 5.0 innings per outing.
• The Marlins are batting .237 this season, 21st in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .378 (24th in the league) with 91 home runs.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won 26, or 60.5%, of the 43 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Miami is 26-17 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 45 of 93 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 44-49-0 against the spread in their 93 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been underdogs in 78 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (38.5%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 29-48 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have gone over in 39 of their 95 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 95 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 48-47-0 against the spread.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar is batting .248 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 21 walks.
• Aguilar’s home runs place him 79th in MLB, and he ranks 106th in RBI.
• Garrett Cooper’s .279 batting average leads his team.
• Of all MLB hitters, Cooper is 156th in homers and 79th in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas has 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 17 walks while batting .238.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .207 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 31 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .251 with 16 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 34 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .324.
• Hayes ranks 242nd in homers and 172nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Hayes has collected a hit in nine straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .275 with a double, a triple, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
• Michael Chavis has totaled 32 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Chavis ranks 95th in homers and 143rd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Ben Gamel has 11 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 23 walks while hitting .245.
• Diego Castillo is hitting .205 with 10 doubles, 10 home runs and 11 walks.