Marlins vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/21/2022

The Miami Marlins (43-48) are -122 favorites to break their three-game losing streak when they face the Texas Rangers (41-49), losers of four in a row. The game begins Thursday at 1:10 PM ET, live from loanDepot park. Pablo Lopez will get the ball for Miami while Texas counter with Jon Gray.

Marlins vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Rangers

Our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +105 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+105) and Over (6.5)

Marlins vs. Rangers Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Jon Gray
• Game Day: Thursday, July 21, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• The Marlins are sending Lopez (6-4) to the mound to make his 19th start of the season. He is 6-4 with a 2.94 ERA and 101 strikeouts through 104 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he went five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up one hit.
• The 26-year-old has amassed a 2.94 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings across 18 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .210 to his opponents.
• Lopez heads into the matchup with seven quality starts under his belt this season.
• Lopez will try to build upon a seven-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
• The opposing Rangers offense has a collective .238 batting average, and is 19th in the league with 729 total hits and 14th in MLB play with 406 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.398) and ranks seventh in home runs (117) in all of MLB.
• The 26-year-old’s 2.94 ERA ranks 20th, 1.067 WHIP ranks 19th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 25th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Rangers Starter Jon Gray

• Gray (6-4) will take the mound for the Rangers, his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander allowed one hit in seven scoreless innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Thursday.
• The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.71 ERA this season with 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.7 walks per nine across 16 games.
• He has six quality starts in 16 chances this season.
• Gray has pitched five or more innings in 12 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Marlins are batting .236 this season, 22nd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .378 (23rd in the league) with 90 home runs.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won 25, or 61%, of the 41 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Miami has a record of 18-13 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -122 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 43 of 91 chances this season.
• The Marlins have an ATS record of 43-48-0 in 91 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rangers have won in 27, or 48.2%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Texas has a win-loss record of 22-23 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Texas and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 91 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 91 games with a line this season, the Rangers have a mark of 51-40-0 against the spread.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Garrett Cooper has accumulated a team-high batting average of .283.
• Among all MLB hitters, Cooper ranks 34th in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage, and 65th in slugging.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .248 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 20 walks.
• Aguilar is 77th in home runs in baseball, and 99th in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .236 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.
• Jorge Soler is batting .209 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 31 walks.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Corey Seager has a team-leading 22 home runs and has driven in 52 runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Seager’s home run total is ninth and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
• Seager brings a hitting streak of 10 games into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .405 with a double, a triple, six home runs, seven walks and 13 RBI.
• Marcus Semien is batting .239 with 15 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
• Semien is 51st in home runs and 63rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Adolis Garcia has 16 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks while batting .237.
• Nate Lowe paces the Rangers with a team-leading batting average of .270.