Marlins vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/1/2022

The Miami Marlins (47-55) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they host the Cincinnati Reds (40-61) Monday at 6:40 PM ET. The Marlins are listed as -123 favorites to snap their losing skid, while the Reds are +102 underdogs. Jesus Luzardo gets the starting nod for Miami while Hunter Greene is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +102 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+102) and Over (8)

Marlins vs. Reds Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Hunter Greene
• Game Day: Monday, August 1, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Jesús Luzardo

• Luzardo starts for the first time this season for the Marlins.
• The 24-year-old lefty makes his season debut and pitches for the first time in more than a year.
• The Reds have put up 444 runs this season (16th in MLB) and are batting .242 collectively with 98 home runs (20th in the league).

Reds Starter Hunter Greene

• Greene (3-12) will take the mound for the Reds, his 20th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
• The 22-year-old has an ERA of 5.59, a 2.902 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.366 in 19 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start five times in 19 starts this season.
• Greene has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Marlins rank 22nd in MLB with a .237 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 25th in the league (.375) and 97 home runs.
• The Marlins have gone 9-for-27 with a double and two RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won 28, or 60.9%, of the 46 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Miami has won 20 of its 34 games, or 58.8%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 50 of 102 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 45-57-0 against the spread in their 102 chances this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 78 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (38.5%) in those games.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 28-44 when favored by +102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 54 of 103 chances this season.
• The Reds have posted a record of 49-54-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas is the Marlins best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .243 clip along with six homers and 27 RBI.
• Rojas’ home runs rank him 195th in MLB, and he ranks 197th in RBI.
• Rojas carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .297 with three doubles, three walks and six RBI.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .240 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 22 walks.
• Aguilar is 77th in home runs and 86th in RBI on the year.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .205 with 12 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
• Joey Wendle is batting .280 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury leads the squad with a batting average of .272, and paces the Reds in home runs, with 20 and runs batted in with 59.
• Drury’s home run total puts him 20th in the majors, and he is 21st in RBI.
• Drury has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Kyle Farmer has 20 doubles, six home runs and 23 walks while hitting .256.
• Farmer ranks 195th in homers and 49th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Tommy Pham is batting .238 with 11 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 42 walks.
• Joey Votto has 17 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .218.