Marlins vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/2/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (41-61) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they visit the Miami Marlins (47-56) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Marlins to be -130 favorites, while the Reds are +110 underdogs to keep their streak alive. Miami’s Braxton Garrett gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft.

Marlins vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +110 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+110) and Over (7.5)

Marlins vs. Reds Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 2, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Braxton Garrett

• Garrett (2-4) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.96 ERA in 52 1/3 innings pitched, with 55 strikeouts.
• The lefty’s last time out came on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 24-year-old has put together a 3.96 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .248 to his opponents.
• Garrett is trying to collect his fourth quality start of the season in this game.
• Garrett will try to go five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Reds offense that is batting .242 as a unit (16th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .383 (19th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (20th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Reds this season, Garrett has pitched five innings, giving up five earned runs on seven hits while striking out eight.

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

• The Reds’ Ashcraft (4-2) will make his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.64 and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .283 in 12 games this season.
• He has started 12 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in six of them.
• In 12 starts, Ashcraft has pitched through or past the fifth inning eight times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
• The Marlins rank 24th in MLB with 407 runs scored this season. They have a .236 batting average this campaign with 97 home runs (21st in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Marlins to go 8-for-27 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI in 6 2/3 innings this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 47 times this season and won 28, or 59.6%, of those games.
• Miami has a record of 18-13, a 58.1% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 56.5% chance to win.
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 50 of 103 chances this season.
• In 103 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 45-58-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have come away with 31 wins in the 79 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 25 times in 65 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 54 of their 104 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Reds have posted a record of 50-54-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas paces the Marlins with a .240 batting average.
• Among all MLB batters, Rojas is 103rd in batting average, 133rd in on-base percentage, and 133rd in slugging.
• Jesus Aguilar has 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .239.
• Aguilar is 77th in home runs and 87th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .204 with 12 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
• Joey Wendle is batting .274 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury paces the Reds with 20 home runs and 59 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .271.
• In all of MLB, Drury ranks 21st in homers and 21st in RBI.
• Drury has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .389 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Kyle Farmer is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, six home runs and 23 walks.
• Farmer ranks 192nd overall in home runs and 51st in RBI this year.
• Joey Votto is hitting .220 with 17 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 39 walks.
• Nick Senzel is batting .251 with eight doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.