Marlins vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/3/2022

by | Aug 3, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (42-61) roll into Wednesday’s matchup with the Miami Marlins (47-57) looking to extend a four-game winning streak. The contest starts at 6:40 PM ET with the Marlins listed as -211 favorites on the moneyline to stop the Reds’ streak. Miami’s Sandy Alcantara and Cincinnati’s Mike Minor have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Marlins vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Marlins -211 +177 7 +100 -120 -1.5 +111 -134

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Reds

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +177. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+177) and Over (7)

Marlins vs. Reds Game Info

  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Mike Minor
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Alcantara Minor
21 GS 10
9-4 W-L 1-7
1.99 ERA 6.31
149.1 IP 51.1
39 BB 22
138 SO 45

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

  • Alcantara (9-4 with a 1.99 ERA and 138 strikeouts in 149 1/3 innings pitched) aims for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Marlins, his 22nd of the season.
  • In his last time out on Friday, the righty threw five innings against the New York Mets, giving up four earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • The 26-year-old has a 1.99 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 21 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .194 to his opponents.
  • Alcantara heads into the matchup with 16 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Alcantara will aim to last five or more innings for his 16th straight appearance. He’s averaging 7.0 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Reds offense has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.380) and is 20th in MLB play with 98 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 23rd in MLB with 817 total hits and 18th in MLB play scoring 449 runs.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 26-year-old’s 1.99 ERA ranks second, .944 WHIP ranks fifth, and 8.3 K/9 ranks 34th.

Reds Starter Mike Minor

  • The Reds’ Minor (1-7) will make his 11th start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles.
  • The 34-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 6.31, a 2.045 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.578.
  • In 10 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
  • Minor has started 10 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Marlins rank 22nd in MLB with a .237 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 26th in the league (.373) and 97 home runs.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have won 28, or 58.3%, of the 48 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Miami has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -211 odds on them winning this game.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 104 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins are 45-59-0 ATS in their 104 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have won in 32, or 40%, of the 80 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Cincinnati has been victorious five times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +177 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 36.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 54 of their 105 opportunities.
  • The Reds have an against the spread record of 51-54-0 in 105 games with a line this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Miguel Rojas has 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks while hitting .241.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Rojas ranks 195th in homers and 193rd in RBI.
  • Jesus Aguilar’s .242 batting average paces his team.
  • Aguilar ranks 79th in homers in the majors, and 84th in RBI.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 12 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .205.
  • Joey Wendle is batting .268 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Miguel Rojas 93 .241 .287 .348 6 28 76
Jesús Aguilar 95 .242 .288 .387 12 43 87
Jesús Sánchez 93 .205 .271 .387 12 33 61
Joey Wendle 56 .268 .314 .368 2 21 51
Avisaíl García 88 .232 .269 .322 7 30 75

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Kyle Farmer leads the Reds with 50 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .248.
  • Farmer’s home run total puts him 195th in MLB, and he is 53rd in RBI.
  • Joey Votto has shown off his power as he paces his team with 10 home runs.
  • Votto is 107th in homers and 117th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Nick Senzel is hitting .248 with nine doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.
  • Jonathan India has 10 doubles, seven home runs and 10 walks while batting .249.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Farmer 89 .248 .322 .370 6 50 77
Joey Votto 79 .217 .333 .395 10 38 60
Nick Senzel 75 .248 .305 .320 3 18 62
Jonathan India 51 .249 .311 .403 7 23 50
Albert Almora Jr. 50 .240 .264 .383 5 28 42

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