Mets vs. Angels Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/11/2022

The Los Angeles Angels (28-32) will lean on Brandon Marsh, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the New York Mets (39-21) on Saturday at 10:07 PM ET. The Angels are +115 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers. New York’s Carlos Carrasco gets the start, and he’ll go against Los Angeles’ Michael Lorenzen.

Mets vs. Angels Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Angels

Our computer pick: Los Angeles Angels (+115) and Over (8.5)

Mets vs. Angels Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Los Angeles Angels probable starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
• Game Day: Saturday, June 11, 2022
• Game Time: 10:07 PM ET
• Location: Anaheim, California
• Stadium: Angel Stadium

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco (7-1) takes the mound for the Mets in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.52 ERA in 64 innings pitched, with 61 strikeouts.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the San Diego Padres, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 35-year-old has amassed a 3.52 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .249 to opposing hitters.
• Carrasco is looking to pick up his fifth quality start of the season.
• Carrasco is seeking his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will take the hill against an Angels offense that is batting .240 as a unit (16th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .401 (12th in MLB) with 73 total home runs (sixth in MLB).
• The 35-year-old’s 3.52 ERA ranks 33rd, 1.156 WHIP ranks 33rd, and 8.6 K/9 ranks 28th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Angels Starter Michael Lorenzen

• Lorenzen (5-3) will take to the mound for the Angels and make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.69 and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .212 in nine games this season.
• He has earned a quality start six times in nine starts this season.
• Lorenzen will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Mets have scored 306 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They have 537 hits, first in baseball, with 55 home runs (20th in the league).

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 45 times and won 31, or 68.9%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 18-9, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 57.4% chance to win.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 62 games with a total.
• In 60 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 37-23-0 ATS.

Angels Betting Picks & Insights

• The Angels have been victorious in four, or 21.1%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Los Angeles has been victorious three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Angels have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 30 of their 60 opportunities.
• The Angels have posted a record of 29-31-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 16 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 54 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• In all of the majors, Alonso is fourth in home runs and second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .250 with nine doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks.
• Lindor ranks 44th in homers and fifth in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Starling Marte is hitting .272 with 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and eight walks.
• Jeff McNeil’s .318 batting average leads his team.
• McNeil is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .350 with a double and two RBI.

Angels Leaders & Batting Stats

• Mike Trout leads the Angels with 14 homers while racking up a team-best batting average of .284.
• Trout ranks 11th in home runs and 46th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Trout carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Shohei Ohtani has been productive as he paces his team with 34 runs batted in.
• Among all major league hitters, Ohtani ranks 16th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
• Jared Walsh has 10 doubles, 10 home runs and 13 walks while hitting .248.
• Anthony Rendon is batting .237 with nine doubles, five home runs and 22 walks.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Angels

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Angels on the moneyline at +115. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.