Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/17/2022

The Atlanta Braves (72-46) will put their eight-game win streak to the test when they host the New York Mets (75-42) Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET. Oddsmakers consider the Mets to be -152 favorites, while the Braves are +129 underdogs to keep their streak alive. Max Scherzer will get the ball for New York while Atlanta counter with Jake Odorizzi.

Mets vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Braves

Our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at +129 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+129) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Braves Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Jake Odorizzi
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 17, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Max Scherzer

• Scherzer (8-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 126 strikeouts in 102 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 17th of the season.
• His most recent time out was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the right-hander threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up nine hits.
• The 38-year-old has put together a 1.93 ERA and 11.0 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .209 to his opponents.
• Scherzer is trying to secure his ninth straight quality start in this matchup.
• Scherzer will try to go five or more innings for his 17th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing.
• The opposing Braves offense has the second-ranked slugging percentage (.448) and is second in MLB play with 182 home runs. It has a collective .252 batting average, and is sixth in MLB with 1017 total hits and third in MLB action scoring 575 runs.
• In 14 innings over two appearances against the Braves this season, Scherzer has a 0.64 ERA and a 0.500 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .143.

Braves Starter Jake Odorizzi

• The Braves’ Odorizzi (4-4) will make his 15th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed eight hits in four innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Friday.
• The 32-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 3.80 and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .251.
• He has four quality starts in 14 chances this season.
• Odorizzi has made eight starts of five or more innings in 14 chances this season, and averages 4.3 frames when he pitches.
• The Mets rank fifth in MLB with a .258 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the league (.406) and 116 home runs.
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Mets in one game, and they have gone 6-for-19 with two RBI over 4 2/3 innings.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 89 times this season and won 62, or 69.7%, of those games.
• New York has entered 43 games this season favored by -152 or more and is 32-11 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 59 of 119 chances this season.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 65-52-0 in 117 games with a spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won in nine, or 33.3%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Atlanta has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +129 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 43.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Atlanta and their opponents have gone over in 58 of their 117 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Braves have an against the spread mark of 60-57-0 in 117 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Mets best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 29-dinger 97-RBI season, both team highs.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Alonso is fifth in homers and second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .269 with 17 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 48 walks.
• Lindor ranks 30th in homers and sixth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Brandon Nimmo has 22 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 44 walks while batting .267.
• Nimmo is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double and two walks.
• Starling Marte is batting .287 with 20 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 22 walks.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has a team-high 30 home runs.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Riley ranks fourth in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Matt Olson has been productive as he leads his team with 79 runs batted in.
• Olson is 14th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and eighth in RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has accumulated a team-high batting average of .294.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .278 with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 40 walks.