Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/18/2022

Following a two-homer game last time out, Starling Marte leads the New York Mets (76-42) into action as -126 favorites against the Atlanta Braves (72-47). First pitch from Truist Park at 7:20 PM ET on Thursday. New York’s Jacob deGrom and Atlanta’s Max Fried have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Braves

We have the Braves on the moneyline at +107 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+107) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Braves Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• Game Day: Thursday, August 18, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Jacob deGrom

• The Mets are sending deGrom (2-0) to the mound to make his fourth start of the season. He is 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last time out came on Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed six scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
• In three games this season, the 34-year-old has amassed a 1.62 ERA and 15.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of just .109 to his opponents.
• deGrom will try to continue a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
• He will face a Braves offense that ranks third in the league with 582 runs while batting .252 as a squad. It has a collective .447 slugging percentage (second in MLB action) and has hit a total of 183 home runs (second in MLB).
• In 5 2/3 innings over one appearance against the Braves this season, deGrom has a 3.18 ERA and a 0.353 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .056.

Braves Starter Max Fried

• Fried (10-4) will take the mound for the Braves, his 23rd start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, Aug. 6, when he threw six innings against the New York Mets, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in 22 games this season with an ERA of 2.60, a 5.08 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.077.
• In 22 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 17 of them.
• Fried has 22 starts of five or more innings this season in 22 chances. He averages 6.1 innings per outing.
• The Mets rank fourth in MLB with 562 runs scored this season. They have a .258 batting average this campaign with 120 home runs (15th in the league).
• The left-hander has allowed the Mets to go 15-for-68 with five doubles, a home run and six RBI in 17 innings this season.
• The 28-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (2.60), 21st in WHIP (1.077), and 27th in K/9 (8.3) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 63 (70%) of those contests.
• New York is 51-24 this season when entering a game favored by -126 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of their 120 games with a total.
• The Mets are 66-52-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have come away with nine wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Atlanta has a mark of 3-12 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of their 118 opportunities.
• In 118 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 60-58-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso is the Mets best power option, crushing 29 round-trippers this season in addition to collecting 99 RBI, both team highs.
• Of all batters in the majors, Alonso’s home run total places him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .271 with 17 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks.
• Lindor ranks 27th in home runs and fifth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Lindor heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Marte has 20 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 22 walks while batting .291.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .267 with 22 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 44 walks.
• Nimmo is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double and two walks.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has swatted a team- leading 30 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Riley ranks fourth in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Matt Olson has been productive as he leads his team with 79 RBI.
• Olson is currently 14th in homers and eighth in RBI in the big leagues.
• Dansby Swanson has accumulated a team-high batting average of .292.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is hitting .275 with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 41 walks.