Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/4/2022

Jeff McNeil is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the New York Mets (66-38) as they get set to take on the Atlanta Braves (63-42) on Thursday. The Mets enter the matchup as -121 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Citi Field at 7:10 PM ET. Carlos Carrasco will get the ball for New York while Atlanta counter with Kyle Wright.

Mets vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Braves

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at +102. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+102) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Braves Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
• Game Day: Thursday, August 4, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco gets the start for the Mets, his 21st of the season. He is 11-4 with a 3.79 ERA and 108 strikeouts through 111 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he went 7 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
• In 20 games this season, the 35-year-old has put up a 3.79 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .270 to his opponents.
• Carrasco is trying to record his eighth quality start of the year.
• Carrasco is seeking his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He meets a Braves offense that ranks third in the league with 500 runs while batting .249 as a unit. It has a collective .442 slugging percentage (third in MLB play) and has hit a total of 161 home runs (second in MLB).
• Carrasco has thrown eight innings without giving up an earned run on six hits, while striking out five against the Braves this season.
• This season, the 35-year-old ranks 39th in ERA (3.79), 49th in WHIP (1.307), and 26th in K/9 (8.7) among qualifying pitchers.

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

• Wright (13-4) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his 21st start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.93, a 3.333 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.149 in 20 games this season.
• He’s going for his fifth quality start in a row.
• Wright has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mets have scored 492 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They have 911 hits, fifth in baseball, with 106 home runs (16th in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Mets one time this season, allowing them to go 9-for-28 with a double, a home run and three RBI in seven innings.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 26-year-old’s 2.93 ERA ranks 18th, 1.149 WHIP ranks 28th, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 25th.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 53, or 67.9%, of the 78 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 71 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 49-22 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 54.8% chance to win.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 53 of 106 chances this season.
• The Mets are 57-47-0 against the spread in their 104 chances this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won in eight, or 36.4%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Atlanta has a win-loss record of 3-8 when favored by +102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 51 of 104 chances this season.
• The Braves have an against the spread record of 52-52-0 in 104 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Mets best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 28-home-run 88-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 41st in batting average, 36th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .262 with 16 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 42 walks.
• Lindor ranks 27th in home runs and sixth in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Lindor enters this matchup looking for his 11th game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .421 with four doubles, three home runs, six walks and eight RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .272 with 19 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 38 walks.
• Starling Marte has 19 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks while hitting .299.
• Marte is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a triple, a home run and five RBI.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley leads the Braves with 29 home runs and 68 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .300.
• Riley ranks fourth in homers and ninth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Riley carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .400 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Matt Olson has 35 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 walks while batting .248.
• Olson is 17th in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Dansby Swanson has accumulated a team-high batting average of .300.
• Marcell Ozuna is hitting .222 with 13 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.