Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Atlanta Braves (64-43) into action as +100 underdogs against the New York Mets (67-39). The game gets underway from Citi Field at 1:10 PM ET on Saturday. New York’s David Peterson and Atlanta’s Jake Odorizzi have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Braves

We have the Braves on the moneyline at +100 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+100) and Under (9)

Mets vs. Braves Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Jake Odorizzi
• Game Day: Saturday, August 6, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter David Peterson

• Peterson starts for the first time this season for the Mets.
• The 26-year-old left-hander makes his season debut and his first appearance in more than a year.
• The Braves have MLB’s fourth-ranked scoring offense (513 total runs) and have put up a .250 batting average as a team while hitting 165 home runs (second in the league) this season.

Braves Starter Jake Odorizzi

• Odorizzi (4-3) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings during his last outing, which came on Sunday for the Houston Astros against the Seattle Mariners.
• The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.75 ERA this season with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.5 walks per nine across 12 games.
• He has started 12 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
• Odorizzi will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Mets have scored 504 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .258 for the campaign with 111 home runs, 15th in the league.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 54, or 67.5%, of the 80 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 51-24, a 68% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 108 games with a total.
• In 106 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 58-48-0 ATS.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won in nine, or 37.5%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Atlanta has a win-loss record of 4-10 when favored by +100 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 106 opportunities.
• The Braves have an against the spread record of 53-53-0 in 106 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso is the Mets best power option, connecting on 29 homers this season in addition to delivering 91 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of the majors, Alonso ranks fourth in home runs and second in RBI.
• Alonso carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, three home runs, four walks and six RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .262 with 16 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 44 walks.
• Lindor ranks 28th in homers in baseball, and sixth in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .272 with 20 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 39 walks.
• Starling Marte has 19 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks while batting .298.
• Marte has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with two RBI.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley leads the Braves with 29 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 69.
• Among all batters in the majors, Riley is fourth in home runs and 10th in RBI.
• Matt Olson has 36 doubles, 21 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .248.
• Olson is 20th overall in home runs and 11th in RBI this season.
• Dansby Swanson leads the Braves with a team-high batting average of .299.
• Marcell Ozuna has 13 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks while batting .219.