Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/16/2022

The New York Mets (41-23) host the Milwaukee Brewers (35-29) Thursday to close out a three-game series. The Mets are favored (-137) to win the rubber match, which starts at 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field. New York’s Tylor Megill gets the start, and he’ll go against Milwaukee’s Aaron Ashby.

Mets vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Brewers

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+116) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Brewers Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
• Game Day: Thursday, June 16, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Tylor Megill

• Megill (4-2) takes the mound for the Mets in his ninth start of the season. He has a 4.50 ERA in 38 innings pitched, with 41 strikeouts.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, the righty tossed 3 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.50, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opponents have a .240 batting average against him.
• Megill has collected one quality start this year.
• Megill will try to record his seventh game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
• He will face a Brewers offense that ranks 25th in MLB with 490 total hits (on a .231 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .393 (15th in MLB) with 80 total home runs (fourth in MLB).

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

• The Brewers will hand the ball to Ashby (1-5) for his eighth start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed 13 hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.91, a 2.696 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.421 in 13 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start one time in seven starts this season.
• Ashby has four starts of five or more innings this season in seven chances. He averages 3.3 innings per outing.
• The Mets rank first in MLB with 322 runs scored this season. They have a .263 batting average this campaign with 60 home runs (19th in the league).

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 47 games this season and won 32 (68.1%) of those contests.
• New York is 18-7 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 57.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of their 66 opportunities.
• The Mets are 39-25-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have come away with five wins in the 10 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Milwaukee has been victorious three times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 31 of their 64 opportunities.
• The Brewers have posted a record of 27-37-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 18 home runs and 59 runs batted in.
• Of all batters in MLB, Alonso is second in homers and second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .242 with nine doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Lindor is 47th in home runs and seventh in RBI in the bigs.
• Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with a .324 batting average.
• McNeil is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
• Starling Marte is hitting .279 with 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 10 walks.
• Marte brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a double, two walks and an RBI.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has posted a team-best batting average of .248 and paces the Brewers in runs batted in with a mark of 38.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Tellez’s home run total ranks 41st and his RBI tally ranks 24th.
• Christian Yelich is batting .242 with nine doubles, two triples, six home runs and 28 walks.
• Yelich is 105th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 138th in RBI.
• Willy Adames has 11 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Jace Peterson is batting .225 with seven doubles, two triples, six home runs and 16 walks.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Brewers

Our best bet is the Brewers on the moneyline at +116 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.