Mets vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/15/2022

by | Jul 15, 2022

The New York Mets (56-34) are favored on the moneyline (-135) in Friday’s contest against the Chicago Cubs (34-55). Game time is at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs, with odds, are favored against the spread (). Taijuan Walker will get the ball for New York while Chicago counter with Marcus Stroman.

Mets vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -135 +115

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Cubs

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +115.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+115)

Mets vs. Cubs Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
  • Game Day: Friday, July 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Walker Stroman
15 GS 10
7-2 W-L 2-5
2.63 ERA 4.91
85.2 IP 51.1
23 BB 13
68 SO 48

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

  • Walker (7-2) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 16th start of the season. He has a 2.63 ERA in 85 2/3 innings pitched, with 68 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, the right-hander tossed 7 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering three hits.
  • The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.63, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents have a .225 batting average against him.
  • Walker is trying to prolong a sixth-game quality start streak in this outing.
  • Walker will try to last five or more innings for his 13th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • He will face a Cubs offense that ranks 18th in the league with 379 runs while batting .244 as a unit. It has a collective .394 slugging percentage (15th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 88 home runs (19th in MLB).

Cubs Starter Marcus Stroman

  • The Cubs’ Stroman (2-5) will make his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.91 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .242 in 10 games this season.
  • He has started 10 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
  • In 10 starts this season, Stroman has lasted five or more innings six times, with an average of 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Mets are batting .254 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .402 (11th in the league) with 91 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 65 times and won 44, or 67.7%, of those games.
  • This season, New York has won 29 of its 42 games, or 69%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 47 of their 92 chances.
  • The Mets have an ATS record of 50-40-0 in 90 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have been victorious in 24, or 38.7%, of the 62 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Chicago has been victorious 16 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Chicago and their opponents have gone over in 43 of their 89 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cubs have an against the spread mark of 43-46-0 in 89 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Mets best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 24-home-run 74-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Alonso ranks fifth in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Alonso takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .244 with 12 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Including all major league hitters, Lindor is 31st in homers and seventh in RBI.
  • Lindor has eight straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .222 with a double, a triple, three home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .275 with 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 35 walks.
  • Nimmo has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
  • Starling Marte has 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks while batting .289.
Pete Alonso 89 .268 .344 .527 24 74 89
Francisco Lindor 89 .244 .318 .434 16 65 85
Brandon Nimmo 82 .275 .361 .447 9 33 86
Starling Marte 75 .289 .339 .457 9 41 88
Jeff McNeil 78 .310 .372 .433 4 35 83

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ is batting .280 with 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .373.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Happ’s home run total is 102nd and his RBI tally ranks 65th.
  • Happ has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
  • Willson Contreras is hitting .258 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks.
  • Contreras ranks 50th overall in home runs and 104th in RBI this season.
  • Nico Hoerner has put up a team-best batting average of .308.
  • Patrick Wisdom paces the Cubs in home runs (17) and runs batted in (45).
Ian Happ 87 .280 .373 .456 9 41 86
Willson Contreras 76 .258 .373 .466 13 35 72
Nico Hoerner 74 .308 .342 .430 5 26 81
Patrick Wisdom 85 .224 .320 .449 17 45 68
Christopher Morel 52 .265 .336 .485 9 25 54

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