Mets vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The New York Mets (58-34), led by Francisco Lindor on a 10-game hitting streak, will meet the Chicago Cubs (34-57) Sunday at Wrigley Field. The Mets are -255 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 2:20 PM ET. New York’s David Peterson and Chicago’s Adrian Sampson have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Cubs

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +209. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+209) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Cubs Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
• Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter David Peterson

• The Mets will send Peterson (5-2) to the mound to make his 13th start of the season. He is 5-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 76 strikeouts in 67 1/3 innings pitched.
• The lefty last appeared on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up two hits.
• The 26-year-old has amassed a 3.48 ERA and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .221 to his opponents.
• Peterson has three quality starts under his belt this season.
• Peterson is trying to collect his eighth start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
• The opposing Cubs offense has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.391) and ranks 20th in MLB play with 88 home runs. It has a collective .243 batting average, and is 14th in MLB with 753 total hits and 19th in MLB action scoring 383 runs.

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

• The Cubs’ Sampson (0-1) will make his fifth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
• The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.67 ERA this season with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.7 walks per nine across six games.
• Sampson will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Mets rank seventh in MLB with a .252 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 14th in the league (.397) and 92 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 67 times and won 46, or 68.7%, of those games.
• New York has played as a favorite of -255 or more once this season and won that game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 47 of 94 chances this season.
• The Mets are 50-42-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have won in 24, or 37.5%, of the 64 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Chicago has a mark of 1-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +209 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 32.4% chance of pulling out a win.
• Chicago and their opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 91 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 91 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 45-46-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso is the Mets best power option, connecting on 24 round-trippers this season in addition to delivering 77 RBI, both team highs.
• Alonso’s home runs place him fifth in MLB, and he is first in RBI.
• Lindor is batting .245 with 12 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
• Lindor is 32nd in home runs and seventh in RBI in the bigs.
• Lindor enters this matchup looking for his 11th game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .279 with a double, a triple, three home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 36 walks while hitting .270.
• Starling Marte has 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 17 walks while hitting .289.
• Marte brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, a walk and an RBI.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ is batting .274 with 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .365.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Happ is 100th in home runs and 68th in RBI.
• Willson Contreras is batting .254 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks.
• Contreras is 50th in home runs and 106th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Nico Hoerner has put up a team-high batting average of .300.
• Patrick Wisdom paces the Cubs with 17 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 45.