Mets vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/12/2022

The Chicago Cubs (58-82) and Zach McKinstry, coming off a four-hit game, are underdogs (+234) on the moneyline and will look to upset the New York Mets (89-52) on Monday at 7:10 PM ET. New York’s Chris Bassitt and Chicago’s Javier Assad have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Cubs

Our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +234 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+234) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Cubs Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Javier Assad
• Game Day: Monday, September 12, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt (13-7) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 27th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.24 ERA in 161 1/3 innings pitched, with 153 strikeouts.
• The righty’s last appearance came on Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he went seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
• In 26 games this season, the 33-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.24, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .234 against him.
• Bassitt is trying to record his third straight quality start in this matchup.
• Bassitt will try to last five or more innings for his 15th straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Cubs offense that ranks 17th in MLB with 1139 total hits (on a .242 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .391 (16th in MLB) with 140 total home runs (17th in MLB).
• The 33-year-old ranks 23rd in ERA (3.24), 25th in WHIP (1.134), and 23rd in K/9 (8.5) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Cubs Starter Javier Assad

• Assad (0-1) will take to the mound for the Cubs and make his fourth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.93, a 1.714 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.435 in four games this season.
• Assad has made two starts of five or more innings in three chances this season, and averages 3.3 frames when he pitches.
• The Mets rank fifth in MLB with 666 runs scored this season. They have a .259 batting average this campaign with 145 home runs (16th in the league).

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 107 times this season and won 72, or 67.3%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 7-4, a 63.6% win rate, when favored by -286 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 74.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 72 of 143 chances this season.
• The Mets are 78-63-0 ATS in their 141 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have won in 40, or 40.4%, of the 99 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Chicago has played as an underdog of +234 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 29.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 61 of 142 chances this season.
• The Cubs are 71-71-0 against the spread in their 142 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 33 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 109 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Alonso ranks seventh in homers and second in RBI.
• Alonso carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 21 doubles, four triples, 22 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .268.
• Lindor ranks 39th in home runs and eighth in RBI in the majors.
• Lindor has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .268 with 28 doubles, six triples, 14 home runs and 58 walks.
• Nimmo will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, six walks and five RBI.
• Jeff McNeil is batting .322 to pace his team.
• McNeil brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with a double, two walks and six RBI.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nico Hoerner leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .291.
• In all of the big leagues, Hoerner ranks 178th in homers and 127th in RBI.
• Hoerner takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .314 with three doubles, two triples, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Ian Happ has been productive as he leads his team with 65 runs batted in.
• Happ ranks 78th in home runs and 57th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Patrick Wisdom has 22 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Seiya Suzuki has 22 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 37 walks while batting .260.