Mets vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/14/2022

The New York Mets (89-54) will take on the Chicago Cubs (60-82) on Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET. Seiya Suzuki will be looking for his 98th hit of the season for the underdog Cubs (+166) when the game gets underway at Citi Field. David Peterson starts for New York while Drew Smyly is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Cubs

We have the Cubs on the moneyline at +166 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+166) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Cubs Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Drew Smyly
• Game Day: Wednesday, September 14, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter David Peterson

• The Mets are sending Peterson (7-4) to the mound for his 19th start of the season. He is 7-4 with a 3.47 ERA and 117 strikeouts in 98 2/3 innings pitched.
• The left-hander’s last appearance came on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw 3 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed a 3.47 ERA and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .238 to his opponents.
• Peterson enters this game with four quality starts under his belt this season.
• Peterson has put up 11 starts this campaign in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Cubs offense has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.391) and ranks 17th in MLB play with 144 home runs. It has a collective .241 batting average, and is 15th in MLB with 1154 total hits and 23rd in MLB action scoring 577 runs.
• Peterson has pitched five innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out eight against the Cubs this season.

Cubs Starter Drew Smyly

• The Cubs will send Smyly (6-8) to the mound for his 21st start this season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up no earned runs on one hit in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.57, a 3.36 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.200 in 20 games this season.
• In 20 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in five of them.
• Smyly has started 20 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 11 times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Mets are batting .258 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .410 (10th in the league) with 147 home runs.
• The Mets have gone 5-for-19 with a double, a home run and an RBI in 4 1/3 innings this season against the left-hander.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 109 games this season and won 72 (66.1%) of those contests.
• New York has a record of 19-10 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -198 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 66.4%.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 72 of 145 chances this season.
• The Mets are 78-65-0 ATS in their 143 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have been underdogs in 101 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (41.6%) in those contests.
• This season, Chicago has come away with a win seven times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +166 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 37.6% chance of walking away with the win.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 144 opportunities.
• The Cubs have an against the spread record of 73-71-0 in 144 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 34 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 110 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Alonso is sixth in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Alonso has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .268 with 21 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 58 walks.
• Lindor ranks 38th in home runs and ninth in RBI in the bigs.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .264 with 28 doubles, six triples, 14 home runs and 60 walks.
• Jeff McNeil is batting .323 to pace his team.
• McNeil has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with two walks and three RBI.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ has driven in the most runs for the Cubs with 66 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Happ ranks 69th in homers and 54th in RBI.
• Nico Hoerner’s .291 batting average leads his team.
• Hoerner is 181st in home runs and 128th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Suzuki is hitting .263 with 22 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 37 walks.
• Patrick Wisdom has swatted a team-high 22 home runs.