Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/31/2022

by | Aug 31, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/31/2022

The New York Mets (82-48) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (90-38) at 7:10 PM ET Wednesday for a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. For the favored Mets (-148), Jeff McNeil is batting .320 this year, third in the league, while Freddie Freeman ranks second in the majors with a .322 average for the underdog Dodgers. New York’s Jacob deGrom gets the start, and he’ll go against Los Angeles’ Tyler Anderson.

Mets vs. Dodgers Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Dodgers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -148 +126 7 +105 -125 -1.5 +153 -184

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Dodgers

Our best bet is the Dodgers on the moneyline at +126 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (+126) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Dodgers Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pitching Matchup

deGrom Anderson
5 GS 22
3-1 W-L 13-2
2.15 ERA 2.69
29.1 IP 140.2
2 BB 30
46 SO 111

Mets Starter Jacob deGrom

  • The Mets are sending deGrom (3-1) out to make his sixth start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 2.15 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out came on Thursday against the Colorado Rockies, when the righty went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • The 34-year-old has amassed a 2.15 ERA and 14.1 strikeouts per nine innings in five games this season, while allowing a batting average of just .139 to his opponents.
  • deGrom is aiming to secure his fourth quality start in a row in this matchup.
  • deGrom will try to prolong a six-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing).
  • The opposing Dodgers offense has a collective .262 batting average, and is fourth in the league with 1148 total hits and first in MLB action with 690 runs scored. It has the best slugging percentage (.451) and ranks fifth in home runs (169) in all of MLB.

Dodgers Starter Tyler Anderson

  • Anderson (13-2) will take the mound for the Dodgers, his 23rd start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Friday.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched to a 2.69 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 24 games.
  • In 22 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 13 of them.
  • Anderson has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Mets rank sixth in MLB with a .257 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 11th in the league (.407) and 131 home runs.
  • The left-hander has faced the Mets one time this season, allowing them to go 3-for-20 in six innings.
  • The 32-year-old’s 2.69 ERA ranks 12th, 1.017 WHIP ranks 13th, and 7.1 K/9 ranks 44th among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have won 66, or 68%, of the 97 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York is 39-14 this season when entering a game favored by -148 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 59.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 64 of their 132 games with a total.
  • The Mets have an ATS record of 72-58-0 in 130 games with a spread this season.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have come away with one win in the four contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Los Angeles has played as an underdog of +126 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 44.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 57 of their 134 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers have posted a record of 81-53-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 31 home runs and 105 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Alonso’s home run total ranks him fourth, and his RBI tally ranks him third.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .265 with 17 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 54 walks.
  • Lindor ranks 35th in homers and ninth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Starling Marte has 24 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .293.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .264 with 25 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs and 52 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Pete Alonso 129 .271 .348 .511 31 105 131
Francisco Lindor 129 .265 .344 .442 21 85 132
Starling Marte 112 .293 .347 .470 15 60 131
Brandon Nimmo 121 .264 .354 .416 12 44 124
Jeff McNeil 116 .320 .372 .458 7 50 133

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freeman leads the Dodgers with a .322 batting average.
  • In all of the big leagues, Freeman ranks 64th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
  • Freeman has collected a hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .400 with four doubles, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has shown his power as he paces his team with 31 home runs.
  • Betts is fourth among all batters in MLB in homers, and 31st in RBI.
  • Trea Turner has put up a team-best 86 runs batted in.
  • Will Smith is hitting .268 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 128 .322 .394 .511 16 81 162
Mookie Betts 110 .282 .352 .561 31 69 127
Trea Turner 128 .308 .353 .483 18 86 161
Will Smith 109 .268 .355 .471 19 75 107
Justin Turner 103 .267 .340 .413 9 66 101

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