Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/20/2022

The New York Mets (44-24) host the Miami Marlins (29-35) at 1:10 PM ET Monday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Jeff McNeil is batting .326 this year (seventh in the league) for the favored Mets (-147), while Garrett Cooper ranks 10th in the majors with a .313 average for the underdog Marlins. New York’s David Peterson and Miami’s Trevor Rogers have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+128) and Over (8.5)

Mets vs. Marlins Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
• Game Day: Monday, June 20, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter David Peterson

• Peterson makes the start for the Mets, his eighth of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 40 innings pitched.
• The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.60, with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opposing hitters have a .228 batting average against him.
• Peterson is looking to record his second quality start of the season.
• Peterson is trying to secure his fourth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
• He will face off against a Marlins offense that ranks 20th in MLB with 520 total hits (on a .240 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .394 (15th in MLB) with 71 total home runs (13th in MLB).

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

• The Marlins will hand the ball to Rogers (3-5) for his 13th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.87, a 1.643 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.640 in 12 games this season.
• In 12 starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
• In 12 starts, Rogers has pitched through or past the fifth inning seven times. He has a season average of 4.1 frames per outing.
• The Mets are batting .261 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .403 (10th in the league) with 64 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 51 times and won 35, or 68.6%, of those games.
• This season, New York has won 19 of its 24 games, or 79.2%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 70 games with a total.
• In 68 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 40-28-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 13 wins in the 37 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a mark of 4-11 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +128 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of their 64 opportunities.
• In 64 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 34-30-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 19 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
• Including all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 34th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .243 with nine doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 27 walks.
• Lindor ranks 42nd in homers in the majors, and fourth in RBI.
• Lindor carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with two home runs and seven RBI.
• McNeil paces the Mets with a team-best batting average of .326.
• McNeil will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .412 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and six RBI.
• Starling Marte is batting .278 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 11 walks.
• Marte has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, a triple, a walk and an RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins in home runs (13) and runs batted in (42).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Chisholm ranks 22nd in homers and 17th in RBI.
• Jorge Soler has 13 doubles, 12 home runs and 27 walks while batting .219.
• Among all MLB batters, Soler is 32nd in homers and 78th in RBI.
• Cooper has racked up a team-high batting average of .313.
• Miguel Rojas is batting .228 with six doubles, a triple, five home runs and 13 walks.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +128 after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.