Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/25/2022

Seeking their 47th win of the year, the New York Mets (46-26) are favorites (-148) on the moneyline when they take on the Miami Marlins (32-37) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. New York’s Chris Bassitt and Miami’s Trevor Rogers have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +128 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+128) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Marlins Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
• Game Day: Saturday, June 25, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• The Mets will send Bassitt (5-5) to make his 15th start of the season. He is 5-5 with a 3.92 ERA and 90 strikeouts through 82 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance came on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, when the righty tossed 6 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 33-year-old has put together a 3.92 ERA and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .226 to opposing hitters.
• Bassitt is looking to claim his third quality start in a row in this matchup.
• Bassitt will try to extend a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing).
• He will face a Marlins offense that ranks 14th in the league with 310 runs while batting .245 as a squad. It has a collective .397 slugging percentage (15th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 76 home runs (13th in MLB).
• Bassitt has a 4.26 ERA and a 1.105 WHIP against the Marlins this season in 6 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .217 batting average over one appearance.
• This season, the 33-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (3.92), 31st in WHIP (1.161), and 12th in K/9 (9.8) among qualifying pitchers.

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

• Rogers (3-6) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 14th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Monday.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.83, a 1.767 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.619 in 13 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start one time in 13 starts this season.
• Rogers has eight starts of five or more innings this season in 13 chances. He averages 4.2 innings per outing.
• The Mets have scored 358 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They are batting .259 for the campaign with 68 home runs, 18th in the league.
• This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Mets in one game, and they have gone 5-for-19 with two doubles and three RBI over five innings.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 52 games this season and won 36 (69.2%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 25 games this season favored by -148 or more and is 20-5 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 38 of 74 chances this season.
• The Mets are 42-30-0 against the spread in their 72 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won in 13, or 34.2%, of the 38 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win four times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Miami’s games have gone over the total in 36 of their 69 opportunities.
• In 69 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 35-34-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Mets best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 20-dinger 66-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all batters in MLB, Alonso ranks fourth in homers and first in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .246 with 10 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
• Lindor is 39th in home runs in the majors, and fourth in RBI.
• Lindor has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, a home run and five RBI.
• Jeff McNeil paces the Mets with a team-high batting average of .327.
• McNeil will look to build on his eight-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .406 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.
• Starling Marte is hitting .269 with 13 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 12 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins in home runs (14) and runs batted in (45).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Chisholm ranks 22nd in homers and 14th in RBI.
• Chisholm carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .467 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Garrett Cooper is hitting .312 to lead the lineup.
• Cooper is 159th in homers and 59th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .218 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 29 walks.
• Jesus Aguilar is batting .252 with 12 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.