Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/29/2022

The New York Mets (61-37) will play the Miami Marlins (47-52) on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. Starling Marte will be looking for his 100th hit of the season for the favored Mets (-132) when the game gets underway at loanDepot park. Chris Bassitt will get the ball for New York while Miami counter with Sandy Alcantara.

Mets vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +112. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+112) and Over (6.5)

Mets vs. Marlins Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
• Game Day: Friday, July 29, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt (7-7 with a 3.63 ERA and 115 strikeouts in 109 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 19th of the season.
• In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander went 7 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 33-year-old has a 3.63 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 18 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .223 to opposing hitters.
• Bassitt is aiming to earn his seventh straight quality start in this game.
• Bassitt will try to build upon a seven-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.0 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .238 batting average, and is 18th in the league with 790 total hits and 24th in MLB play with 399 runs scored. It has the 25th-ranked slugging percentage (.377) and ranks 19th in home runs (96) in all of MLB.
• Head-to-head against the Marlins this season, Bassitt has pitched 19 2/3 innings, giving up eight earned runs on 17 hits while striking out 17.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 33-year-old’s 3.63 ERA ranks 35th, 1.092 WHIP ranks 23rd, and 9.5 K/9 ranks 14th.

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

• Alcantara (9-4) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 21st start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on two hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 1.81, a 3.694 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .901 in 20 games this season.
• He’s going for his sixth quality start in a row.
• Alcantara has 14 starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Mets have scored 456 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They are batting .252 for the campaign with 96 home runs, 19th in the league.
• The Mets have gone 18-for-82 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs and six RBI in 22 innings this season against the right-hander.
• The 26-year-old ranks second in ERA (1.81), fourth in WHIP (.901), and 36th in K/9 (8.3) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 48, or 66.7%, of the 72 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 52 games this season favored by -132 or more and is 34-18 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 100 games with a total this season.
• In 98 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 52-46-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 53 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (35.8%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 10 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 99 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 45-54-0 against the spread in their 99 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets in home runs (26) and runs batted in (84).
• Among all batters in MLB, Alonso is fifth in homers and first in RBI.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .378 with four doubles, three home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .251 with 14 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 37 walks.
• Lindor is 34th in homers and sixth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Lindor enters this matchup looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Marte paces the Mets with a team-high batting average of .297.
• Marte has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .262 with 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 37 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar leads the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .248.
• Aguilar ranks 69th in home runs and 76th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .238 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 17 walks.
• Rojas ranks 186th in homers and 214th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Jesus Sanchez has 12 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .207.
• Joey Wendle is batting .296 with 12 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.