Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/8/2022

by | Jul 8, 2022

The New York Mets will look to pick up their 53rd win of the season when they take on the Miami Marlins (39-42) Friday. The game begins at 7:10 PM ET, with the Mets listed as -157 favorites on the moneyline. New York’s Chris Bassitt gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Pablo Lopez.

Mets vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -157 +135 7.5 -113 -107 -1.5 +134 -159

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +135 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will under the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+135) and Under (7.5)

Mets vs. Marlins Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
  • Game Day: Friday, July 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Bassitt López
0 GS 16
0-0 W-L 5-4
ERA 3.06
0 IP 94.0
0 BB 27
0 SO 93

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt will make his first start of the season for the Mets.
  • It’s the first appearance this season for the 33-year-old right-hander, and his first outing in more than a year.
  • The Marlins rank 17th in run scoring in the league (348) this season and are batting .240 while hitting 88 home runs (15th in the league).

Marlins Starter Pablo López

  • Lopez (5-4) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 17th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 6 1/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 3.06 ERA this season with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • He has earned a quality start seven times in 16 starts this season.
  • Lopez has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Mets have scored 402 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .258 for the campaign with 81 home runs, 19th in the league.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Mets in one game, and they have gone 8-for-24 with a home run and six RBI over 5 1/3 innings.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 26-year-old’s 3.06 ERA ranks 21st, 1.074 WHIP ranks 22nd, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 25th.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have won 42, or 68.9%, of the 61 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York has a record of 19-6 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -157 on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 85 games with a total this season.
  • The Mets are 47-36-0 ATS in their 83 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have come away with 16 wins in the 46 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Miami has been victorious three times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 42.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Miami and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 81 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Marlins have posted a record of 40-41-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Pete Alonso is the Mets best power option, launching 22 home runs this season in addition to accumulating 69 RBI, both team highs.
  • Alonso’s home runs place him fifth in MLB, and he is first in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .241 with 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Lindor ranks 41st in homers and eighth in RBI in the bigs.
  • Starling Marte has 17 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks while batting .290.
  • Marte will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .410 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 15 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 30 walks while batting .278.
  • Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
Pete Alonso 82 .277 .354 .538 22 69 84
Francisco Lindor 82 .241 .319 .411 13 57 76
Starling Marte 72 .290 .342 .461 9 40 85
Brandon Nimmo 75 .278 .362 .440 7 31 79
Jeff McNeil 74 .316 .376 .441 4 35 81

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Garrett Cooper leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .308.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Cooper’s home run total ranks 161st and his RBI tally is 64th.
  • Miguel Rojas has 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks while batting .249.
  • Rojas is currently 161st in home runs and 201st in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Jesus Aguilar is hitting .243 with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 19 walks.
  • Jon Berti is hitting .257 with eight doubles, two triples, two home runs and 24 walks.
Garrett Cooper 72 .308 .373 .462 6 38 80
Miguel Rojas 72 .249 .302 .378 6 21 60
Jesús Aguilar 73 .243 .289 .396 10 34 68
Jon Berti 51 .257 .354 .363 2 18 44
Jesús Sánchez 70 .215 .268 .413 11 31 52

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