Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/11/2022

Garrett Cooper is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Miami Marlins (57-81) as they get set to take on the New York Mets (88-52) on Sunday. The Marlins enter the matchup as +124 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from loanDepot park at 1:40 PM ET. New York’s Taijuan Walker and Miami’s Jesus Luzardo have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +124. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+124) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Marlins Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
• Game Day: Sunday, September 11, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

• The Mets will send Walker (10-4) to the mound to make his 25th start of the season. He is 10-4 with a 3.60 ERA and 96 strikeouts in 127 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• The 30-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.60, with 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 24 games this season. Opponents are batting .243 against him.
• Walker is looking to pick up his 12th quality start of the season.
• Walker will aim to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.362) and is 25th in MLB play with 121 home runs. It has a collective .229 batting average, and is 26th in MLB with 1054 total hits and 27th in MLB action scoring 491 runs.
• Walker has a 2.49 ERA and a 1.026 WHIP against the Marlins this season in 25 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .217 batting average over four appearances.

Marlins Starter Jesús Luzardo

• The Marlins will send Luzardo (3-6) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 3.36 ERA this season with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.4 walks per nine across 13 games.
• He’s going for his fifth quality start in a row.
• Luzardo has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mets have scored 657 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .258 for the campaign with 142 home runs, 16th in the league.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 106 times and won 71, or 67%, of those games.
• This season, New York has won 46 of its 64 games, or 71.9%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 142 games with a total.
• The Mets are 77-63-0 against the spread in their 140 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 85 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (30.6%) in those contests.
• Miami has a mark of 13-38 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 138 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 64-74-0 against the spread in their 138 games that had a posted line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has put up a team-high 33 home runs and 108 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso’s home run total ranks him sixth, and his RBI tally puts him fourth.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 21 doubles, four triples, 22 home runs and 56 walks while batting .268.
• Lindor ranks 39th in home runs and seventh in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Lindor has three games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .350 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .266 with 27 doubles, six triples, 13 home runs and 56 walks.
• Nimmo is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Jeff McNeil has a club-best .318 batting average.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the team in batting average with a mark of .234.
• Rojas’ home run total places him 241st in the big leagues, and he is 225th in RBI.
• Rojas carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .385 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Cooper has driven in the most runs for the Marlins with 46 runs batted in.
• Cooper is currently 194th in home runs and 139th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Jon Berti is batting .254 with 15 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 34 walks.
• Joey Wendle is batting .255 with 20 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 14 walks.