Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/9/2022

After a four-hit game in a win over the Pirates, Eduardo Escobar leads the New York Mets (87-51) as -165 favorites against the Miami Marlins (56-80). Action gets underway from loanDepot park at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. New York’s David Peterson and Miami’s Edward Cabrera have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +140 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+140) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Marlins Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
• Game Day: Friday, September 9, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter David Peterson

• Peterson makes the start for the Mets, his 18th of the season. He is 7-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 110 strikeouts through 95 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance was on Friday against the Washington Nationals, when the left-hander went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.32, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are hitting .234 against him.
• Peterson is trying to pick up his fifth quality start of the year.
• Peterson is aiming for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.360) and is 25th in MLB play with 119 home runs. It has a collective .228 batting average, and is 28th in MLB with 1035 total hits and 27th in MLB play scoring 482 runs.
• Peterson has pitched 12 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on 10 hits while striking out 15 against the Marlins this season.

Marlins Starter Edward Cabrera

• The Marlins will send Cabrera (4-2) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 2.39, a 2.2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.061.
• He has earned a quality start three times in nine starts this season.
• Cabrera will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Mets are batting .257 this season, sixth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .407 (10th in the league) with 138 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 70 out of the 104 games, or 67.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, New York has won 32 of its 43 games, or 74.4%, when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 62.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of their 140 games with a total.
• The Mets are 76-62-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (30.1%) in those contests.
• This year, Miami has won three of 26 games when listed as at least +140 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 59 of their 136 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Marlins are 63-73-0 against the spread in their 136 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 32 home runs and 106 runs batted in.
• Alonso’s home runs put him seventh in MLB, and he ranks fourth in RBI.
• Alonso brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double and two walks.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .265 with 20 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 56 walks.
• Lindor is 41st in home runs in baseball, and ninth in RBI.
• Starling Marte has 24 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 26 walks while batting .292.
• Brandon Nimmo has 27 doubles, six triples, 13 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .265.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .229.
• Rojas’ home run total places him 237th in MLB, and he is 231st in RBI.
• Jon Berti is batting .258 with 14 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 34 walks.
• Berti ranks 321st in home runs and 296th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Garrett Cooper has 26 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 36 walks while batting .255.
• Joey Wendle is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 14 walks.