Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/31/2022

Brandon Nimmo seeks to extend his 10-game hitting streak as the New York Mets (33-17) take on the Washington Nationals (18-32) and Cesar Hernandez, who has a 10-game hit streak of his own. The Mets are listed as -180 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, live from Citi Field. Trevor Williams takes the mound for New York while Patrick Corbin is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+156) and Over (9)

Mets vs. Nationals Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Game Day: Tuesday, May 31, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Trevor Williams

• The Mets will send Williams (0-3) to make his fourth start of the season. He is 0-3 with a 4.37 ERA and 22 strikeouts through 22 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared in relief on Wednesday, when he threw 3 2/3 scoreless innings against the San Francisco Giants while giving up one hit.
• The 30-year-old has put together a 4.37 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in eight games this season, while allowing a batting average of .264 to his opponents.
• The opposing Nationals offense has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.370) and ranks 29th in MLB play with 32 home runs. It has a collective .254 batting average, and is fourth in MLB with 425 total hits and 14th in MLB play scoring 206 runs.
• Williams has a 0.00 ERA and a 1.071 WHIP against the Nationals this season in 4 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .222 batting average over two appearances.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• The Nationals will send Corbin (1-7) to the mound for his 11th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
• The 32-year-old has pitched to a 6.30 ERA this season with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.0 walks per nine across 10 games.
• He has started 10 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Corbin has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Mets rank second in MLB with 256 runs scored this season. They have a .264 batting average this campaign with 45 home runs (19th in the league).
• The Mets have gone 8-for-32 with a double and two RBI in two games against the left-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this year, the 32-year-old’s 6.30 ERA ranks 57th, 1.660 WHIP ranks 58th, and 7.6 K/9 ranks 37th.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 28, or 66.7%, of the 42 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 7-2, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -180 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Mets have a 64.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 26 of 52 chances this season.
• In 50 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 31-19-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 41 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (31.7%) in those games.
• This year, Washington has won six of 16 games when listed as at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 26 of their 51 opportunities.
• The Nationals have posted a record of 20-31-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Mets best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 13-dinger 47-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Alonso’s home run total ranks him fourth, and his RBI tally puts him second.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, two home runs, five walks and six RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has eight doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 24 walks while hitting .262.
• Lindor ranks 37th in home runs and fourth in RBI in the majors.
• Jeff McNeil paces the Mets with a .308 batting average.
• Starling Marte is batting .283 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and seven walks.
• Marte is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, a triple, a home run, two walks and six RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto has swatted a team-high nine home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Soto’s home run total ranks 27th and his RBI tally is 147th.
• Soto carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with three doubles, a home run, five walks and two RBI.
• Josh Bell’s 28 RBI and .299 batting average both pace his team.
• Among all MLB batters, Bell is 117th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
• Hernandez is hitting .295 with 13 doubles, a triple and 14 walks.
• Nelson Cruz is batting .237 with six doubles, four home runs and 19 walks.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Nationals

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +156. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.