Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/1/2022

Cesar Hernandez is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Washington Nationals (35-68) as they get set to take on the New York Mets (64-37) on Monday. The Nationals enter the matchup as +207 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Nationals Park at 7:05 PM ET. Max Scherzer gets the starting nod for New York while Patrick Corbin is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +207. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+207) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Nationals Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Game Day: Monday, August 1, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Max Scherzer

• Scherzer (6-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 82 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 14th of the season.
• In his last time out on Wednesday, the righty went seven scoreless innings against the New York Yankees while surrendering five hits.
• In 13 games this season, the 38-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.09, with 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .201 against him.
• Scherzer is trying to prolong a fifth-game quality start streak in this game.
• Scherzer is aiming for his 14th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance on the hill.
• He will take the hill against a Nationals squad that is batting .245 as a unit (12th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .370 (27th in MLB) with 79 total home runs (29th in MLB).
• In six innings over one appearance against the Nationals this season, Scherzer has a 4.50 ERA and a 0.667 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .158.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• The Nationals will hand the ball to Corbin (4-14) for his 22nd start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw two-thirds of an inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 6.49, a 2.649 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.766 in 21 games this season.
• In 21 starts this season, he’s earned six quality starts.
• Corbin has made 14 starts of five or more innings in 21 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
• The Mets are batting .255 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .403 (12th in the league) with 101 home runs.
• The left-hander has faced the Mets three times this season, allowing them to go 20-for-57 with a double, a home run and nine RBI in 13 1/3 innings.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 33-year-old’s 6.49 ERA ranks 63rd, 1.766 WHIP ranks 63rd, and 8.4 K/9 ranks 31st.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 75 games this season and won 51 (68%) of those contests.
• New York has entered three games this season favored by -252 or more and is 2-1 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.6% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of their 103 opportunities.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 55-46-0 in 101 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 87 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (32.2%) in those games.
• Washington has a mark of 4-4 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +207 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 32.6% chance of walking away with the win.
• Washington’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 103 opportunities.
• In 103 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 44-59-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 26 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 85 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Alonso ranks fifth in homers and second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .262 with 16 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 40 walks.
• Lindor is 37th in homers in MLB, and seventh in RBI.
• Lindor has seven games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .410 with four doubles, a home run, five walks and five RBI.
• Starling Marte leads the Mets with a team-best batting average of .298.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .262 with 18 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 37 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, a home run and five RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto has swatted a team- leading 20 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Soto ranks 20th in home runs and 75th in RBI.
• Josh Bell has a club-leading 57 RBI and .305 batting average.
• Bell is 54th in homers and 24th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Nelson Cruz is hitting .232 with 15 doubles, eight home runs and 39 walks.
• Hernandez is hitting .242 with 22 doubles, two triples and 32 walks.