Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

The New York Mets (84-48) will play the Washington Nationals (45-86) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. Mark Canha will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the favored Mets (-276) when the game gets underway at Citi Field. David Peterson gets the starting nod for New York while Josiah Gray is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +222 after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+222) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Nationals Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
• Game Day: Friday, September 2, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter David Peterson

• Peterson gets the start for the Mets, his 17th of the season. He is 7-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 89 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, when the lefty threw six scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
• In 20 games this season, the 26-year-old has amassed a 3.21 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .227 to opposing hitters.
• Peterson has four quality starts under his belt this season.
• Peterson will try to pick up his 11th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.1 innings per appearance.
• He will take the hill against a Nationals offense that ranks 11th in MLB with 1084 total hits (on a .247 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .376 (26th in MLB) with 111 total home runs (27th in MLB).
• Peterson has pitched 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out one against the Nationals this season.

Nationals Starter Josiah Gray

• Gray (7-8) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his 24th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in five innings pitched against the San Diego Padres on Sunday, Aug. 21.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 4.67 ERA this season with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.9 walks per nine across 23 games.
• He has earned a quality start eight times in 23 starts this season.
• Gray has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Mets are batting .257 this season, seventh in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .406 (11th in the league) with 132 home runs.
• The Mets have gone 8-for-18 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and four RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 67 out of the 98 games, or 68.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, New York has won six of its eight games when favored by at least -276 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.4% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 65 of 134 chances this season.
• The Mets are 73-59-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have won in 37, or 33%, of the 112 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Washington has won seven of 17 games when listed as at least +222 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 31.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 131 opportunities.
• The Nationals are 58-73-0 against the spread in their 131 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 31 home runs and 105 runs batted in.
• Of all batters in MLB, Alonso is sixth in home runs and third in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .269 with 18 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 54 walks.
• Lindor is 37th in home runs and seventh in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Lindor enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Starling Marte is hitting .295 with 24 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 26 walks.
• Marte is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .266 with 26 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs and 52 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .350 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has collected a team-leading 64 runs batted in.
• Cruz ranks 156th in home runs and 46th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Cruz takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with three walks and three RBI.
• Cesar Hernandez is hitting .244 with 26 doubles, three triples and 37 walks.
• Hernandez is currently 423rd in home runs and 251st in RBI in the big leagues.
• Keibert Ruiz has a team-high batting average of .249.
• Lane Thomas is batting .240 with 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 27 walks.