Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

The New York Mets (85-48) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the Washington Nationals (45-87) Saturday at 7:10 PM ET on SNY. Oddsmakers consider the Mets -439 favorites to extend their streak, while the Nationals are +340 underdogs looking for the upset. New York’s Max Scherzer and Washington’s Patrick Corbin have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +340 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+340) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Nationals Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• TV Channel: SNY
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Max Scherzer

• The Mets will send Scherzer (9-4) out to make his 20th start of the season as he tries for his 10th win. He is 9-4 with a 2.27 ERA and 148 strikeouts in 122 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the right-hander tossed seven innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• In 19 games this season, the 38-year-old has an ERA of 2.27, with 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .208 against him.
• Scherzer is looking to record his 15th quality start of the year.
• Scherzer will try to extend a 20-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing).
• He meets a Nationals offense that ranks 26th in the league with 495 runs while batting .247 as a unit. It has a collective .375 slugging percentage (26th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 111 home runs (27th in MLB).
• Scherzer has pitched 12 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on nine hits while striking out 11 against the Nationals this season.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• The Nationals will send Corbin (5-17) to the mound for his 27th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 6.56, a 2.511 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.762 in 26 games this season.
• In 26 starts this season, he’s earned seven quality starts.
• Corbin will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Mets have scored 624 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They have 1156 hits, sixth in baseball, with 134 home runs (16th in the league).
• The Mets have gone 27-for-76 with a double, two home runs and 13 RBI in 17 2/3 innings this season against the left-hander.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 68, or 68.7%, of the 99 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has played as a favorite of -439 or more once this season and won that game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 81.4% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of their 135 games with a total.
• The Mets are 74-59-0 against the spread in their 133 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been underdogs in 113 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (32.7%) in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have given Washington the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +340 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 22.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Washington and their opponents have hit the over in 64 of their 132 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Nationals are 58-74-0 against the spread in their 132 games that had a posted line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has racked up a team-high 32 home runs and 106 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso’s home run total places him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
• Francisco Lindor has 18 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .267.
• Lindor is 37th in home runs in baseball, and ninth in RBI.
• Starling Marte is batting .293 with 24 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 26 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .268 with 27 doubles, six triples, 12 home runs and 52 walks.
• Nimmo takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a triple and two RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has driven in a team-leading 64 runs batted in.
• Cruz’s home run total puts him 157th in MLB, and he ranks 46th in RBI.
• Cesar Hernandez is batting .244 with 26 doubles, three triples and 37 walks.
• Hernandez is 427th in home runs and 253rd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Keibert Ruiz paces the Nationals’ lineup with a .246 batting average.
• Lane Thomas has 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 27 walks while batting .237.