Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/4/2022

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Luis Garcia leads the Washington Nationals (46-87) into action as +257 underdogs against the New York Mets (85-49). The game gets underway from Citi Field at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday. Carlos Carrasco gets the starting nod for New York while Erick Fedde is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +257 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+257) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Nationals Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Erick Fedde
• Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco will take the mound to start for the Mets, his first of the season.
• The 35-year-old righty makes his season debut and his first appearance in more than a year.
• The Nationals are 26th in MLB action with 502 runs scored this season, and are batting .248 with 113 home runs (27th in baseball).

Nationals Starter Erick Fedde

• The Nationals will send Fedde (5-9) to the mound for his 22nd start this season.
• The right-hander gave up six earned runs in 2 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 5.29 and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .276.
• He has earned a quality start four times in 21 starts this season.
• In 21 starts, Fedde has pitched through or past the fifth inning 13 times. He has a season average of 4.2 frames per outing.
• The Mets have scored 625 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 1160 hits, seventh in baseball, with 135 home runs (16th in the league).
• The Mets have gone 13-for-30 with two doubles, two home runs and eight RBI in 6 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 68 out of the 100 games, or 68%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York has a record of 4-3 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -324 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 76.4%.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of their 136 opportunities.
• The Mets are 74-60-0 against the spread in their 134 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have come away with 38 wins in the 114 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Washington has been a +257 moneyline underdog on six occasions this season and won every game.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 28% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Washington and their opponents have gone over in 65 of their 133 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 133 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 59-74-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 32 home runs and 106 runs batted in.
• In all of the majors, Alonso is sixth in home runs and third in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 18 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .267.
• Lindor is 37th in home runs and 10th in RBI on the year.
• Starling Marte has 24 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .294.
• Brandon Nimmo has 27 doubles, six triples, 12 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .266.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has a team-leading 64 runs batted in.
• Cruz’s home run total places him 157th in the big leagues, and he ranks 46th in RBI.
• Cesar Hernandez is hitting .244 with 26 doubles, three triples and 37 walks.
• Hernandez ranks 430th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 254th in RBI.
• Keibert Ruiz paces the Nationals’ lineup with a .245 batting average.
• Lane Thomas has 20 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 28 walks while batting .242.