Mets vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/22/2022

The New York Mets (58-35) hope to avoid an upset as -182 favorites when they take on Luke Voit (with homers in two straight contests) and the San Diego Padres (52-42). First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET Friday, live from Citi Field. New York’s Max Scherzer gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Yu Darvish.

Mets vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Padres

We have the Padres on the moneyline at +155 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+155) and Over (6.5)

Mets vs. Padres Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
• Game Day: Friday, July 22, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Max Scherzer

• Scherzer makes the start for the Mets, his 12th of the season. He is 6-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 90 strikeouts through 69 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, when he went 6 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up eight hits.
• The 37-year-old has an ERA of 2.22, with 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents are hitting .198 against him.
• Scherzer is trying to build upon a third-game quality start streak in this game.
• Scherzer will try to build on a 12-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
• He meets a Padres offense that ranks 14th in the league with 408 runs while batting .240 as a squad. It has a collective .373 slugging percentage (27th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 77 home runs (25th in MLB).

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

• Darvish (8-4) will take to the mound for the Padres and make his 18th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 7 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 35-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 3.41, a 4.545 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .988.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Darvish will look to pitch five or more innings for the 16th start in a row.
• The Mets have scored 437 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 795 hits, seventh in baseball, with 92 home runs (17th in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Mets to go 2-for-22 with a double in seven innings this season.
• The 35-year-old’s 3.41 ERA ranks 32nd, .988 WHIP ranks 12th, and 8.3 K/9 ranks 31st among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 46, or 67.6%, of those games.
• New York is 10-2 this season when entering a game favored by -182 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 95 chances this season.
• The Mets are 50-43-0 ATS in their 93 games with a spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (53.6%) in those games.
• San Diego has played as an underdog of +155 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 39.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with San Diego have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 43 of 95 chances this season.
• The Padres are 43-52-0 against the spread in their 95 games that had a posted line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 24 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 78 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso’s home run total places him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .248 with 12 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
• Lindor is 32nd in home runs in baseball, and seventh in RBI.
• Lindor heads into this game looking for his 12th game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .302 with a double, a triple, three home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 37 walks while hitting .271.
• Nimmo is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Starling Marte has 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 17 walks while hitting .292.
• Marte is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a walk and an RBI.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado leads the squad with a batting average of .303, while pacing the Padres in home runs, with 15 and runs batted in with 51.
• Machado is 36th in homers and 29th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Jurickson Profar has 21 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 48 walks while hitting .241.
• Profar is currently 131st in home runs and 84th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Jake Cronenworth is hitting .241 with 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Eric Hosmer is batting .268 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks.