Mets vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

Seeking their 59th win of the year, the New York Mets (58-36) are favorites (-151) on the moneyline when they take on the San Diego Padres (53-42) Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. New York’s Chris Bassitt gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Blake Snell.

Mets vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Padres

Our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +128 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+128) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Padres Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Blake Snell
• Game Day: Saturday, July 23, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt makes the start for the Mets, his 18th of the season. He is 7-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 102 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, July 13 against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
• The 33-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.71, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents have a .228 batting average against him.
• Bassitt is trying to build on a fifth-game quality start streak in this game.
• Bassitt will look to last five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
• The opposing Padres offense has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.375) and ranks 25th in MLB play with 79 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 14th in MLB with 772 total hits and 15th in MLB action scoring 412 runs.
• Bassitt has pitched 3 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on seven hits while striking out six against the Padres this season.
• This season, the 33-year-old ranks 39th in ERA (3.71), 29th in WHIP (1.127), and 19th in K/9 (9.2) among pitchers who qualify.

Padres Starter Blake Snell

• The Padres will send Snell (1-5) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday, July 14 in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 5.22, a 2.129 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.480.
• In 11 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
• Snell has started 11 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
• The Mets rank seventh in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 15th in the league (.394) and 92 home runs.
• The Mets have gone 7-for-20 with two doubles and four RBI in four innings this season against the left-hander.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 46, or 66.7%, of those games.
• New York has entered 34 games this season favored by -151 or more and is 25-9 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 96 games with a total this season.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 50-44-0 in 94 games with a spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have come away with 16 wins in the 29 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win five times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• San Diego and their opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 96 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Padres are 44-52-0 against the spread in their 96 games that had a posted line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso is the Mets best power hitter, launching 24 home runs this season in addition to accumulating 78 RBI, both team highs.
• Alonso’s home runs place him fifth in MLB, and he is first in RBI.
• Alonso carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, a home run and six RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .245 with 12 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
• Lindor ranks 32nd in homers and seventh in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Starling Marte is batting .294 with 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 17 walks.
• Marte will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a walk and an RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .267 with 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 37 walks.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado leads the squad with a batting average of .299, and leads the Padres in home runs, with 15 and runs batted in with 51.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Machado ranks 38th in homers and 32nd in RBI.
• Jurickson Profar has 21 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 48 walks while hitting .241.
• Profar is 135th in home runs and 87th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .241 with 23 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
• Eric Hosmer is hitting .272 with 15 doubles, seven home runs and 30 walks.