Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/29/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (10-10) will look to Odubel Herrera, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the New York Mets (14-5) Friday at Citi Field. The Mets are -117 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 7:10 PM ET. Tylor Megill will get the ball for New York while Philadelphia counter with Aaron Nola.

Mets vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-103) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Phillies Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Game Day: Friday, April 29, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Tylor Megill

• Megill makes the start for the Mets, his fifth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 23 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last appearance came on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.35, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents have a .214 batting average against him.
• Megill is aiming for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Phillies offense has a collective .256 batting average, and is first in the league with 168 total hits and first in MLB action with 96 runs scored. It has the fourth-ranked slugging percentage (.413) and ranks 10th in home runs (19) in all of MLB.
• In 5 1/3 innings over one appearance against the Phillies this season, Megill has a 0.00 ERA and a 0.563 WHIP while his opponents are batting .176.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 26-year-old ranks 20th in ERA (2.35), 14th in WHIP (.913), and 28th in K/9 (8.6).

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola (1-2) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his fifth start of the season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
• The 28-year-old has pitched to a 3.74 ERA this season with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across four games.
• In four starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
• Nola has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Mets rank fourth in MLB with a .255 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the league (.389) and 17 home runs.
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Mets in one game, and they have gone 3-for-12 with a double, a home run and three RBI over 3 1/3 innings.
• The 28-year-old’s 3.74 ERA ranks 43rd, .877 WHIP ranks 11th, and 10.4 K/9 ranks ninth among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 17 times this season and won 14, or 82.4%, of those games.
• This season, New York has won 13 of its 16 games, or 81.2%, when favored by at least -117 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in seven of their 20 games with a total.
• The Mets are 13-6-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been underdogs in four games this season and have come away with the win one time (25%) in those contests.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by -103 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 10 of their 20 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 20 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 10-10-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with four home runs.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Lindor ranks 13th in homers and 21st in RBI.
• Jeff McNeil has a club-best .328 batting average.
• Among all major league hitters, McNeil is 131st in homers and 111th in RBI.
• McNeil carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with four doubles, a triple and an RBI.
• Starling Marte has two doubles, two home runs and three walks while hitting .250.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .275 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper has driven in the most runs for the Phillies with 14 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Harper’s home run total ranks 34th and his RBI tally is ninth.
• Harper takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double, a triple, a home run and three RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos has a club-high .319 batting average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Castellanos is 34th in home runs and 21st in RBI.
• Alec Bohm paces the Phillies with 14 runs batted in.
• Jean Segura has two doubles, two home runs and four walks while hitting .259.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at -103 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.