Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/28/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (21-25) will look to Garrett Stubbs, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the New York Mets (30-17) Saturday at Citi Field. The Mets are -125 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 7:15 PM ET. New York’s Taijuan Walker and Philadelphia’s Zach Eflin have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+106) and Over (8.5)

Mets vs. Phillies Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zach Eflin
• Game Day: Saturday, May 28, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

• Walker (2-0) takes the mound for the Mets in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 2.70 ERA in 30 innings pitched, with 18 strikeouts.
• In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, the righty tossed seven scoreless innings while surrendering five hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 2.70 ERA and 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings across six games this season, while allowing a batting average of .232 to opposing hitters.
• Walker has two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Walker is seeking his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Phillies offense has the fourth-ranked slugging percentage (.410) and is eighth in MLB play with 52 home runs. It has a collective .250 batting average, and is fourth in MLB with 387 total hits and eighth in MLB play scoring 210 runs.
• Walker has a 4.91 ERA and a 1.364 WHIP against the Phillies this season in 11 innings pitched, allowing a .256 batting average over three appearances.

Phillies Starter Zach Eflin

• The Phillies will hand the ball to Eflin (1-3) for his eighth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.14 and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .252 in seven games this season.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Eflin has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Mets have scored 230 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They have 414 hits, first in baseball, with 40 home runs (20th in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Mets to go 8-for-21 with three doubles and five RBI in 4 1/3 innings this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 40 games this season and won 26 (65%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 31 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 19-12 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 23 of their 49 games with a total.
• The Mets are 28-19-0 against the spread in their 47 chances this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (40%) in those games.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious eight times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 24 of their 46 opportunities.
• In 46 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 23-23-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso is the Mets best power option, crushing 12 homers this season in addition to collecting 45 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of MLB, Alonso is third in home runs and first in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has eight doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 23 walks while hitting .253.
• Lindor ranks 32nd in home runs and eighth in RBI on the season.
• Lindor has five straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
• Jeff McNeil paces the Mets with a .319 batting average.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .293 with eight doubles, four triples, three home runs and 23 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in 10 games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .293 with two doubles, two triples, three walks and five RBI.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper leads the squad with a batting average of .313, while pacing the Phillies in home runs, with 10 and runs batted in with 32.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Harper ranks 13th in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Harper takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .417 with three doubles, a home run and five RBI.
• Jean Segura is batting .283 with four doubles, six home runs and 10 walks.
• Segura is 49th in home runs and 97th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .253 with 12 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .224 with eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 20 walks.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +106 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.