Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/12/2022

The New York Mets (73-39) roll into Friday’s matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (62-49) looking to extend a six-game winning streak. The contest starts at 7:10 PM ET with the Mets listed as -189 favorites on the moneyline. Max Scherzer will get the ball for New York while Philadelphia counter with Ranger Suarez.

Mets vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +160 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+160) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Phillies Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Game Day: Friday, August 12, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Max Scherzer

• Scherzer gets the start for the Mets, his 16th of the season. He is 8-2 with a 1.98 ERA and 120 strikeouts in 95 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed 7 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 38-year-old has an ERA of 1.98, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .200 against him.
• Scherzer is trying to build upon a seventh-game quality start streak in this game.
• Scherzer will look to build upon a 16-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
• The opposing Phillies offense has a collective .250 batting average, and is 11th in the league with 938 total hits and sixth in MLB action with 524 runs scored. It has the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.423) and ranks fifth in home runs (148) in all of MLB.
• In 17 innings over three appearances against the Phillies this season, Scherzer has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.412 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .299.

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• The Phillies will send Suarez (8-5) to the mound for his 20th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Saturday.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 3.68 and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .258.
• He has earned a quality start six times in 19 starts this season.
• Suarez has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mets have scored 544 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .260 for the campaign with 115 home runs, 15th in the league.
• The Mets have gone 5-for-14 with three RBI in 2 2/3 innings this season against the left-hander.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 60 out of the 86 games, or 69.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York has entered 18 games this season favored by -189 or more and is 15-3 in those contests.
• The Mets have a 65.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 114 opportunities.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 64-48-0 in 112 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have won in 20, or 48.8%, of the 41 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +160 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 38.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 56 of their 111 opportunities.
• The Phillies have posted a record of 59-52-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 29 home runs and 96 runs batted in.
• Alonso’s home runs put him fifth in the majors, and he is second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 17 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .270.
• Lindor ranks 27th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Lindor carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .353 with a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Starling Marte has 19 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 21 walks while hitting .292.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .269 with 21 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 42 walks.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies in home runs (34) and runs batted in (69).
• Schwarber is second in homers and 16th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .249 with 21 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks.
• Hoskins is 13th in homers and 51st in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• J.T. Realmuto has 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks while batting .267.
• Alec Bohm paces the Phillies with a team-high batting average of .293.