Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/13/2022

Seeking their 74th win of the year, the New York Mets (73-40) are favorites (-197) on the moneyline when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies (63-49) Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. Jacob deGrom will get the ball for New York while Philadelphia counter with Aaron Nola.

Mets vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +164 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+164) and Over (6.5)

Mets vs. Phillies Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Game Day: Saturday, August 13, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Jacob deGrom

• deGrom (1-0) pitches for the Mets to make his third start this season.
• In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up two earned runs while surrendering one hit.
• Over his two games this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of only .114 against him. He has a 2.53 ERA and averages 15.2 strikeouts per nine innings.
• deGrom will try to build upon a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing).
• He will match up with a Phillies offense that ranks 10th in MLB with 948 total hits (on a .250 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .422 (sixth in MLB) with 148 total home runs (fifth in MLB).

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola (8-8) will take the mound for the Phillies, his 23rd start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 22 games this season with an ERA of 3.17, a 7.85 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .947.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Nola has 20 starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Mets have scored 545 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .259 for the campaign with 115 home runs, 16th in the league.
• The Mets have gone 13-for-59 with two doubles, three home runs and seven RBI in three games against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 29-year-old ranks 22nd in ERA (3.17), sixth in WHIP (.947), and ninth in K/9 (9.8).

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 60 out of the 87 games, or 69%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, New York has won 12 of its 16 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -197 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 66.3% chance to win.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 58 of their 115 chances.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 64-49-0 in 113 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 42 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (50%) in those games.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +164 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 37.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 112 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Phillies have an against the spread record of 60-52-0 in 112 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 29 times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 96 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Alonso’s home run total places him fifth, and his RBI tally puts him second.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .270 with 17 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 47 walks.
• Lindor ranks 28th in homers in baseball, and sixth in RBI.
• Lindor carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Starling Marte is hitting .292 with 20 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 21 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .267 with 21 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 42 walks.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has a team-leading 34 home runs and has driven in 69 runs.
• Schwarber is second in homers and 17th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .248 with 21 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Hoskins ranks 14th in home runs and 54th in RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .263.
• Alec Bohm leads the team in batting average with a mark of .292.