Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

Chris Bassitt will take the mound for the New York Mets (74-40) Sunday looking for his 10th win of the season in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (63-50). The Mets are -138 favorites to pick up the win in the contest, which starts at 1:40 PM ET, live from Citi Field. New York’s Bassitt and Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies

Our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at +117 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+117) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Phillies Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
• Game Day: Sunday, August 14, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt goes for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Mets, his 22nd of the season. He is 9-7 with a 3.39 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 130 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Monday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he threw eight innings, surrendering no earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 33-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.39, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are hitting .230 against him.
• Bassitt is seeking his third quality start in a row.
• Bassitt is aiming for his 10th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Phillies offense has a collective .248 batting average, and is 12th in the league with 951 total hits and eighth in MLB action with 526 runs scored. It has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.419) and ranks sixth in home runs (148) in all of MLB.
• Bassitt has a 1.54 ERA and a 0.943 WHIP against the Phillies this season in 11 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .167 batting average over two appearances.
• This season, the 33-year-old ranks 30th in ERA (3.39), 23rd in WHIP (1.123), and 18th in K/9 (8.9) among qualifying pitchers.

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

• Wheeler (11-5) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his 22nd start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 2.63, a 4.893 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.026 in 21 games this season.
• He’s looking to extend his four-game quality start streak.
• Wheeler will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Mets rank fourth in MLB with a .259 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 11th in the league (.408) and 115 home runs.
• The right-hander has faced the Mets two times this season, allowing them to go 6-for-39 with a double, a triple, a home run and two RBI in 10 2/3 innings.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 32-year-old’s 2.63 ERA ranks 10th, 1.026 WHIP ranks 16th, and 9.7 K/9 ranks ninth.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 88 games this season and won 61 (69.3%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 53 games this season favored by -138 or more and is 37-16 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 116 opportunities.
• The Mets are 64-50-0 ATS in their 114 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have come away with 21 wins in the 43 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Philadelphia has a mark of 15-10 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +117 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 46.1% chance of walking away with the win.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 113 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 113 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 61-52-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets in home runs (29) and runs batted in (97).
• Among all hitters in baseball, Alonso’s home run total places him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .268 with 17 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 47 walks.
• Lindor is 29th in home runs and sixth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Starling Marte has 20 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 21 walks while batting .292.
• Marte will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .264 with 21 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 42 walks.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 34 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 69.
• In all of the majors, Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 17th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins has 21 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 54 walks while batting .249.
• Hoskins is currently 14th in home runs and 55th in RBI in the major leagues.
• J.T. Realmuto is batting .261 with 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 31 walks.
• Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with a .289 batting average.