Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/15/2022

The New York Mets (89-55) are -263 moneyline favorites Thursday when they plan to send Carlos Carrasco to the mound to face the Pittsburgh Pirates (55-88), seeking win No. 15. The teams hit the field at 7:20 PM ET, live on FOX. New York’s Carrasco and Pittsburgh’s JT Brubaker have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +213 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+213) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Pirates Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
• Game Day: Thursday, September 15, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• TV Channel: FOX
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco makes the start for the Mets, his 26th of the season. He is 14-6 with a 3.80 ERA and 132 strikeouts in 135 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, the right-hander went six innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• The 35-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.80, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 25 games this season. Opponents are batting .270 against him.
• Carrasco heads into this outing with 10 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Carrasco has put up 18 starts this campaign in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .223 batting average, and is 29th in the league with 1049 total hits and 27th in MLB action with 515 runs scored. It has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.366) and ranks 17th in home runs (145) in all of MLB.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

• The Pirates will send Brubaker (3-11) to the mound for his 27th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in 26 games this season with an ERA of 4.36 and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .264.
• In 26 starts this season, he’s earned eight quality starts.
• Brubaker has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mets rank fifth in MLB with a .258 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks eighth in the league (.410) and 149 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 72, or 65.5%, of the 110 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, New York has won 10 of its 16 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -263 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of their 146 opportunities.
• The Mets are 78-66-0 against the spread in their 144 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been victorious in 46, or 36.8%, of the 125 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 6-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +213 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 31.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 64 of 144 chances this season.
• The Pirates are 73-71-0 against the spread in their 144 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has accumulated a team-high 35 home runs and 111 runs batted in.
• Of all batters in baseball, Alonso’s home run total places him fourth, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of eight games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .275 with a double, three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .268 with 21 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 58 walks.
• Lindor ranks 38th in homers in the majors, and ninth in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has 28 doubles, six triples, 14 home runs and 60 walks while batting .262.
• Jeff McNeil has a club-high .321 batting average.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .257, while pacing the Pirates in home runs, with 23 and runs batted in with 54.
• In all of MLB, Reynolds ranks 38th in home runs and 100th in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .250 with 22 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 44 walks.
• Hayes ranks 226th in home runs and 195th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Ben Gamel has 19 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while batting .237.
• Michael Chavis has 15 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 18 walks while batting .237.