Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/6/2022

A losing streak will come to an end Tuesday when the New York Mets (85-50), losers of two straight, take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (49-84). The Pirates are hoping to avoid their fourth loss in a row. The Mets are -325 favorites to snap out of their slide when the teams hit the field at PNC Park, with first pitch at 6:35 PM ET. New York’s Taijuan Walker gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller.

Mets vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +270 after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+270) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Pirates Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
• Game Day: Tuesday, September 6, 2022
• Game Time: 6:35 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

• Walker (10-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 122 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 24th of the season.
• The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 30-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.45, with 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opponents have a .240 batting average against him.
• Walker has 11 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Walker will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
• The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.359) and ranks 19th in MLB play with 129 home runs. It has a collective .219 batting average, and is last in MLB with 957 total hits and 28th in MLB action scoring 467 runs.

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

• The Pirates will send Keller (4-10) to the mound for his 24th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.43 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .278 in 25 games this season.
• In 23 starts this season, he’s earned nine quality starts.
• In 23 starts this season, Keller has lasted five or more innings 15 times, with an average of 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Mets rank seventh in MLB with a .256 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 11th in the league (.406) and 135 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 101 times this season and won 68, or 67.3%, of those games.
• New York is 4-3 this season when entering a game favored by -325 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 76.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 67 of their 137 chances.
• The Mets are 74-61-0 ATS in their 135 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been underdogs in 115 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (34.8%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 2-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +270 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 27% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of their 134 opportunities.
• In 134 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 66-68-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets in home runs (32) and runs batted in (106).
• Including all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 49th in batting average, 44th in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .264 with 18 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 54 walks.
• Of all major league hitters, Lindor ranks 38th in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Starling Marte is batting .292 with 24 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 26 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .266 with 27 doubles, six triples, 12 home runs and 52 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 21 home runs and 48 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .251.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds is 38th in home runs and 117th in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .242 with 20 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 40 walks.
• Among all major league batters, Hayes is 234th in homers and 193rd in RBI.
• Ben Gamel has 18 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 37 walks while batting .241.
• Michael Chavis is hitting .237 with 13 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 14 walks.