Mets vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

by | Jun 30, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Mets vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

Adolis Garcia will look to extend his 11-game hitting streak when the Texas Rangers (36-38) take on the New York Mets (47-29). The Mets are listed as -165 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 7:10 PM ET Friday, live from Citi Field. New York’s Chris Bassitt gets the start, and he’ll go against Texas’ Glenn Otto.

Mets vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Rangers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -165 +140 8 -115 -105 -1.5 +120 -140

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Rangers

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +140. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+140) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Rangers Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Glenn Otto
  • Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Bassitt Otto
15 GS 9
6-5 W-L 4-3
3.91 ERA 5.31
89.2 IP 42.1
26 BB 26
95 SO 34

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt (6-5) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.91 ERA in 89 2/3 innings pitched, with 95 strikeouts.
  • The righty last appeared on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he went 7 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • In 15 games this season, the 33-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.91, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .226 against him.
  • Bassitt is looking for his fourth straight quality start.
  • Bassitt will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Rangers offense has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.392) and ranks eighth in MLB play with 93 home runs. It has a collective .238 batting average, and is 18th in MLB with 597 total hits and 15th in MLB play scoring 325 runs.
  • This season, the 33-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (3.91), 28th in WHIP (1.138), and 14th in K/9 (9.5) among pitchers who qualify.

Rangers Starter Glenn Otto

  • The Rangers will hand the ball to Otto (4-3) for his 10th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 2 2/3 innings while giving up six earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 5.31, a 1.308 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.512.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in nine starts this season.
  • Otto has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Mets have scored 366 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .256 for the campaign with 71 home runs, 20th in the league.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have won 37, or 68.5%, of the 54 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York has entered 13 games this season favored by -165 or more and is 11-2 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 62.3% chance to win.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 78 opportunities.
  • The Mets have an ATS record of 43-33-0 in 76 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorious in 25, or 51%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has a win-loss record of 6-9 when favored by +140 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 41.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Texas and their opponents have gone over in 32 of their 75 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 75 games with a line this season, the Rangers have a mark of 43-32-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Pete Alonso leads the Mets in home runs (22) and runs batted in (69).
  • Alonso’s home runs put him fourth in MLB, and he is first in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .241 with 11 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Of all MLB hitters, Lindor ranks 44th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • Starling Marte is batting .275 with 16 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 13 walks.
  • Jeff McNeil’s .323 batting average leads his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Pete Alonso 75 .280 .359 .560 22 69 77
Francisco Lindor 75 .241 .318 .417 12 56 70
Starling Marte 65 .275 .324 .438 7 36 73
Jeff McNeil 67 .323 .380 .457 4 33 75
Brandon Nimmo 68 .278 .364 .431 5 24 71

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Garcia leads the Rangers in home runs (15) and runs batted in (49).
  • Garcia’s home run total places him 20th in the majors, and he ranks 13th in RBI.
  • Garcia has collected a hit in 11 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .341 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs, a walk and six RBI.
  • Corey Seager has shown off his power as he paces his team with 15 home runs.
  • Among all major league hitters, Seager ranks 20th in homers and 68th in RBI.
  • Marcus Semien is hitting .231 with 13 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 25 walks.
  • Nate Lowe leads the team in batting average with a mark of .278.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Adolis García 72 .259 .297 .490 15 49 74
Corey Seager 72 .229 .303 .423 15 35 65
Marcus Semien 73 .231 .289 .364 8 32 68
Nate Lowe 69 .278 .327 .440 10 32 72
Jonah Heim 55 .243 .302 .459 10 29 44

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