Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/6/2022

by | Jul 6, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (27-52 look to avoid the sweep when they host the New York Mets (50-30) in the final game of a two-game set. Oddsmakers have listed the Mets as -166 favorites, while the Reds are +142 underdogs to pick up a win. David Peterson starts for New York while Graham Ashcraft is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -166 +142 9.5 -110 -110 -1.5 -102 -118

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +142 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+142) and Over (9.5)

Mets vs. Reds Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
  • Game Day: Wednesday, July 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Peterson Ashcraft
0 GS 8
0-0 W-L 4-2
ERA 4.53
0 IP 43.2
0 BB 9
0 SO 28

Mets Starter David Peterson

  • Peterson gets the call to start for the Mets, his first this season.
  • It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 26-year-old southpaw.
  • The Reds have put up 339 runs this season (18th in MLB) and are batting .239 collectively with 73 home runs (23rd in the league).

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

  • The Reds’ Ashcraft (4-2) will make his ninth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up seven earned runs and allowed seven hits in 2 1/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched to a 4.53 ERA this season with 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across eight games.
  • He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
  • In eight starts this season, Ashcraft has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Mets have scored 384 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .256 for the campaign with 78 home runs, 19th in the league.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 58 times and won 40, or 69%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 13-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -166 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 62.4% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 82 games with a total.
  • The Mets are 45-35-0 ATS in their 80 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have come away with 22 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win nine times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 41.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 44 of 80 chances this season.
  • The Reds are 35-45-0 against the spread in their 80 games that had a posted line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Pete Alonso is the Mets best power hitter, launching 22 long balls this season in addition to accumulating 69 RBI, both team highs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso is fifth in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor has 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks while batting .248.
  • Lindor is 40th in home runs in baseball, and seventh in RBI.
  • Starling Marte is batting .279 with 16 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 14 walks.
  • Marte has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
  • Jeff McNeil’s .318 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • McNeil has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
Pete Alonso 79 .276 .356 .545 22 69 80
Francisco Lindor 79 .248 .329 .426 13 57 75
Starling Marte 69 .279 .329 .454 9 39 78
Jeff McNeil 71 .318 .375 .449 4 34 78
Brandon Nimmo 72 .272 .356 .426 6 27 74

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury paces the Reds with 17 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 45.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Drury is 15th in homers and 29th in RBI.
  • Drury carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .133 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
  • Tommy Pham has nine doubles, 11 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .253.
  • Pham is currently 57th in home runs and 85th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Kyle Farmer has a team-best batting average of .284.
  • Joey Votto has 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 33 walks while batting .210.
Brandon Drury 69 .266 .327 .529 17 45 69
Tommy Pham 70 .253 .343 .416 11 34 65
Kyle Farmer 67 .284 .348 .415 5 39 67
Joey Votto 62 .210 .332 .374 6 25 45
Albert Almora Jr. 44 .255 .272 .405 5 26 39

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