Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/8/2022

The New York Mets (70-39) roll into Monday’s matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (44-63) looking to extend a three-game winning streak. The contest starts at 7:10 PM ET with the Mets listed as -290 favorites on the moneyline. New York’s Chris Bassitt and Cincinnati’s Justin Dunn have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +238 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+238) and Over (8.5)

Mets vs. Reds Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Justin Dunn
• Game Day: Monday, August 8, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt (8-7) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 21st start of the season. He has a 3.61 ERA in 122 innings pitched, with 121 strikeouts.
• The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Washington Nationals, when he went 7 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up six hits.
• The 33-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.61, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 20 games this season. Opponents are batting .228 against him.
• Bassitt is looking to secure his 14th quality start of the season.
• Bassitt will look to last five or more innings for his ninth straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
• He will face a Reds offense that ranks 24th in MLB with 845 total hits (on a .239 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .379 (23rd in MLB) with 103 total home runs (20th in MLB).
• This season, the 33-year-old ranks 36th in ERA (3.61), 24th in WHIP (1.123), and 19th in K/9 (8.9) among pitchers who qualify.

Reds Starter Justin Dunn

• Dunn will make his first start of the season for the Reds.
• This will be the first start of the season for the 26-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
• The Mets have scored 523 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They have 963 hits, fourth in baseball, with 111 home runs (15th in the league).

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 57, or 68.7%, of the 83 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has played as a favorite of -290 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 74.4% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of their 111 opportunities.
• The Mets are 61-48-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been underdogs in 84 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (40.5%) in those contests.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +238 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 29.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 109 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 109 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 53-56-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 29 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 95 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Alonso’s home runs put him fourth in MLB, and he is second in RBI.
• Alonso carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with three doubles, three home runs, six walks and 11 RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .270 with 17 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
• Lindor is 28th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Lindor enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .444 with a double, three walks and three RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .273 with 21 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 41 walks.
• Starling Marte is batting .292 with 19 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 20 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Reds are lead in runs batted in by Kyle Farmer with a mark of 51, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .248.
• In all of the big leagues, Farmer is 202nd in homers and 58th in RBI.
• Joey Votto has launched a team-best 11 home runs.
• Votto is 102nd among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 125th in RBI.
• Nick Senzel is hitting .252 with 10 doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.
• Albert Almora Jr. is batting .237 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and nine walks.