Mets vs. Yankees Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/26/2022

The New York Mets (59-37) host the New York Yankees (66-31) at 7:10 PM ET Tuesday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best power hitters in MLB. For the favored Mets (-115), Pete Alonso has racked up 25 homers this season, fifth in the league, while Aaron Judge ranks first in the majors with 37 dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. Taijuan Walker starts for the Mets while Jordan Montgomery is the Yankees’ starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Yankees Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Yankees

We have the Yankees on the moneyline at -105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Yankees (-105) and Under (7.5)

Mets vs. Yankees Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 26, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

• Walker gets the start for the Mets, his 17th of the season. He is 7-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 91 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last appearance was on Saturday, July 16 against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.55, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .223 against him.
• Walker is aiming to secure his eighth straight quality start in this outing.
• Walker is seeking his 14th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Yankees offense has a collective .245 batting average, and is 11th in the league with 799 total hits and first in MLB play with 520 runs scored. It has the best slugging percentage (.444) and ranks first in home runs (165) in all of MLB.

Yankees Starter Jordan Montgomery

• The Yankees’ Montgomery (3-2) will make his 20th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Thursday.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.24 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .231 in 19 games this season.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Montgomery will look to pitch five or more innings for the 13th start in a row.
• The Mets rank sixth in MLB with 447 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 93 home runs (19th in the league).
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 29-year-old’s 3.24 ERA ranks 27th, 1.052 WHIP ranks 17th, and 7.3 K/9 ranks 44th.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 71 games this season and won 47 (66.2%) of those contests.
• This season, the Mets have won 46 of their 68 games, or 67.6%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 53.5% chance to win.
• The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 98 games with a total this season.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 51-45-0 in 96 games with a spread this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have won in four of the seven contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, the Yankees have come away with a win four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 97 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees have posted a record of 46-51-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alonso is the Mets best power option, launching 25 long balls this season in addition to delivering 82 RBI, both team highs.
• Alonso ranks fifth in home runs and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Alonso has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .247 with 13 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
• Lindor is 33rd in home runs and seventh in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Lindor carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Starling Marte paces the Mets with a .293 batting average.
• Brandon Nimmo has 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 37 walks while batting .266.
• Nimmo brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a walk.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Judge paces the Yankees with 37 home runs and 81 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .294.
• In all of the big leagues, Judge is first in homers and second in RBI.
• Judge has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .474 with two doubles, four home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .218 with 16 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 43 walks.
• Rizzo is 11th in home runs and 21st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• DJ LeMahieu has 15 doubles, nine home runs and 52 walks while hitting .286.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .266 with 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 25 walks.