Mets vs. Yankees Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

by | Jul 27, 2022

Two of the league’s top power hitters will meet Wednesday when the New York Mets (60-37) and New York Yankees (66-32) take the field at 7:10 PM ET. Pete Alonso has 25 home runs for the Mets (-169 favorites on the moneyline) while Aaron Judge has 38 homers this season for the Yankees (+142). Max Scherzer starts for the Mets while Domingo German is the Yankees’ starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Yankees Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Yankees Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -169 +142 8 -107 -112 -1.5 +125 -153

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Yankees

Our best bet is the Yankees on the moneyline at +142 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Yankees (+142) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Yankees Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
  • Game Day: Wednesday, July 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Pitching Matchup

Scherzer Germán
12 GS 1
6-2 W-L 0-1
2.28 ERA 15.00
75.0 IP 3.0
13 BB 1
98 SO 2

Mets Starter Max Scherzer

  • Scherzer (6-2) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 13th start of the season. He has a 2.28 ERA in 75 innings pitched, with 98 strikeouts.
  • The righty last pitched on Friday against the San Diego Padres, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • In 12 games this season, the 37-year-old has an ERA of 2.28, with 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .201 against him.
  • Scherzer is aiming to earn his fifth quality start in a row in this matchup.
  • Scherzer will look to build on a 13-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
  • He will face a Yankees squad that is batting .245 as a unit (14th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .443 (first in MLB) with 167 total home runs (first in MLB).

Yankees Starter Domingo Germán

  • The Yankees will send German to the mound for his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while allowing six hits against the Houston Astros.
  • He has an ERA of 15.00, a 2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 2.333 in one games this season.
  • The Mets rank fifth in MLB with 453 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 95 home runs (19th in the league).

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 71 times and won 47, or 66.2%, of those games.
  • This season, the Mets have won 17 of their 21 games, or 81%, when favored by at least -169 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 99 games with a total this season.
  • The Mets are 52-45-0 against the spread in their 97 chances this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have been victorious in four of the seven contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • The Yankees have yet to enter a game this year with longer moneyline odds than +142.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 98 games with a total this season.
  • The Yankees are 46-52-0 against the spread in their 98 games that had a posted line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Alonso paces the Mets with 25 home runs and 83 runs batted in.
  • Of all batters in MLB, Alonso’s home run total ranks him fifth, and his RBI tally puts him first.
  • Alonso carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .588 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .250 with 14 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Lindor is 34th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • Lindor heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles.
  • Starling Marte has racked up a team-high batting average of .296.
  • Marte will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .263 with 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 37 walks.
Pete Alonso 96 .280 .355 .541 25 83 100
Francisco Lindor 96 .250 .323 .431 16 66 94
Starling Marte 81 .296 .346 .463 10 42 97
Brandon Nimmo 89 .263 .348 .421 9 33 90
Jeff McNeil 84 .292 .355 .405 4 36 85

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Judge leads the lineup with a batting average of .296, and leads the Yankees in home runs, with 38 and runs batted in with 82.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Judge ranks first in homers and second in RBI.
  • Judge brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .524 with two doubles, five home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo is batting .222 with 16 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Rizzo is currently ninth in homers and 16th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • DJ LeMahieu is batting .281 with 15 doubles, nine home runs and 52 walks.
  • Gleyber Torres is hitting .263 with 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
Aaron Judge 95 .296 .378 .657 38 82 107
Anthony Rizzo 91 .222 .338 .489 23 58 72
DJ LeMahieu 89 .281 .385 .410 9 39 92
Gleyber Torres 86 .263 .322 .474 15 43 81
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 88 .272 .316 .322 0 30 82

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