Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Tips and Best Bets

by | Apr 6, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Tips and Best Bets

The Milwaukee Brewers look to start their season with a win as road favorites (-171) in a season-opening matchup with the Chicago Cubs. First pitch is on Thursday at 2:20 PM ET, live from Wrigley Field. Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while Chicago counter with Kyle Hendricks.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -171 +148 10.5 -119 -102 -1.5 -112 -109

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+148) and Over (10.5)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
  • Game Day: Thursday, April 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Burnes Hendricks
28 GS 32
11-5 W-L 14-7
2.43 ERA 4.77
167.0 IP 181.0
34 BB 44
234 SO 131

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes takes the mound for his first start of the season for the Brewers.
  • In his last appearance on Friday, Oct. 8, the 27-year-old right-hander started and went 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Atlanta Braves.
  • Over his 28 appearances last season he finished with a 2.43 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP, compiling an 11-5 record.
  • Among qualified pitchers in MLB last year he ranked first in ERA (2.43), second in WHIP (.940), and first in K/9 (12.6).

Cubs Starter Kyle Hendricks

  • Hendricks gets the nod for the Cubs and will make his first start of the season.
  • The last time the 32-year-old pitched was on Wednesday, Sept. 29 against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The righty threw 5 2/3 innings as the starter in that matchup.
  • Last season, he posted a 4.77 ERA with 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings and a record of 14-7.
  • He ranked 36th in ERA (4.77), 35th in WHIP (1.348), and 35th in K/9 (6.5) among qualified pitchers in the majors last season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • Last season, the Brewers won 75 out of the 124 games, or 60.5%, in which they were favored.
  • Milwaukee was 34-19 last season when entering a game favored by -171 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 63.1% chance to win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents went over the total last season in 75 of their 164 opportunities.
  • The Brewers were 64-56-0 ATS in their 120 games with a spread last season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs were underdogs in 94 games last season and came away with the win 31 times (33%) in those contests.
  • Last season, Chicago was victorious 13 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of +148 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Chicago and its opponents went over in 74 of their 155 games with a total set by sportsbooks last season.
  • The Cubs went 58-55-0 against the spread in their 113 games that had a posted line last season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Hunter Renfroe had 31 home runs and 96 runs batted in last season.
  • Andrew McCutchen hit .222 with 24 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 81 walks.
  • Luis Urias hit .249 a season ago with 25 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 63 walks.
  • Willy Adames hit .262 a season ago with 130 hits.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Hunter Renfroe 144 .259 .315 .501 31 96 135
Andrew McCutchen 144 .222 .334 .444 27 80 107
Luis UrĂ­as 150 .249 .345 .445 23 75 122
Willy Adames 140 .262 .337 .481 25 73 130
Kolten Wong 116 .272 .335 .447 14 50 121

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ sent home 66 runs batted in a season ago.
  • Jonathan Villar had a .249 batting average with 113 hits.
  • Willson Contreras hit .237 a season ago with 20 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 walks.
  • Frank Schwindel hit .326 with 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 16 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Patrick Wisdom 106 .231 .305 .518 28 61 78
Ian Happ 148 .226 .323 .434 25 66 105
Willson Contreras 128 .237 .340 .438 21 57 98
Jonathan Villar 142 .249 .322 .416 18 42 113
Frank Schwindel 64 .326 .371 .591 14 43 79

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Cubs

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +148. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 10.5 runs.

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