Nationals vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/13/2022

by | Jul 13, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Nationals vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/13/2022

Following a big two-homer game in a win over the Blue Jays, Carlos Santana leads the Seattle Mariners (45-42) into action as -104 underdogs against the Washington Nationals (30-58). First pitch from Nationals Park at 12:05 PM ET on Wednesday. Washington’s Josiah Gray and Seattle’s Chris Flexen have been named the starters for this contest.

Nationals vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Nationals vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Nationals -116 -104 9 -113 -107 -1.5 +120 -107

Computer Predictions for Nationals vs. Mariners

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at -104. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (-104) and Over (9)

Nationals vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Chris Flexen
  • Game Day: Wednesday, July 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Gray Flexen
16 GS 16
7-5 W-L 5-8
4.14 ERA 4.00
87.0 IP 90.0
36 BB 32
99 SO 66

Nationals Starter Josiah Gray

  • The Nationals are sending Gray (7-5) to make his 17th start of the season. He is 7-5 with a 4.14 ERA and 99 strikeouts in 87 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.14, with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opponents are batting .222 against him.
  • Gray has six quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Gray will try to continue an eight-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance).
  • The opposing Mariners offense has a collective .234 batting average, and is 25th in the league with 679 total hits and 24th in MLB action with 354 runs scored. It has the 17th-ranked slugging percentage (.386) and ranks 15th in home runs (93) in all of MLB.

Mariners Starter Chris Flexen

  • The Mariners will hand the ball to Flexen (5-8) for his 17th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, July 4, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the San Diego Padres while allowing four hits.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 4.00, a 2.062 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.400.
  • He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
  • Flexen has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Nationals are batting .248 this season, 10th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .373 (27th in the league) with 68 home runs.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 28-year-old’s 4.00 ERA ranks 43rd, 1.400 WHIP ranks 55th, and 6.6 K/9 ranks 49th.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been favorites in 15 games this season and won eight (53.3%) of those contests.
  • Washington has a record of 6-6 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Nationals, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
  • Games involving Washington have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 43 of 88 chances this season.
  • In 88 games with a spread this season, the Nationals are 37-51-0 ATS.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have won in 23, or 43.4%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious 18 times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Seattle and their opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 87 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mariners are 46-41-0 against the spread in their 87 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has hit a team-high 17 home runs.
  • Soto’s home runs rank him 21st in the majors, and he ranks 77th in RBI.
  • Soto has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with two home runs, five walks and four RBI.
  • Josh Bell’s 47 runs batted in and .307 batting average are both team-highs.
  • Bell ranks 55th in homers and 33rd in RBI on the season.
  • Nelson Cruz has put up a team-best 47 runs batted in.
  • Cruz will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .235 with three walks and an RBI.
  • Cesar Hernandez is batting .241 with 18 doubles, two triples and 27 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 85 .236 .392 .466 17 37 69
Josh Bell 87 .307 .389 .494 12 47 97
Nelson Cruz 80 .241 .326 .363 8 47 71
César Hernández 87 .241 .301 .305 0 19 84
Keibert Ruiz 67 .255 .315 .356 3 19 63

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France has posted a team-leading batting average of .306 while pacing the Mariners in runs batted in with a mark of 45.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, France is 85th in homers and 41st in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .266 with 16 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 31 walks.
  • Crawford is 200th in home runs and 188th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Eugenio Suarez has 15 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .226 with 13 doubles, six home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 74 .306 .379 .460 10 45 89
J.P. Crawford 78 .266 .345 .386 5 24 78
Eugenio Suárez 86 .242 .336 .443 15 44 77
Jesse Winker 79 .226 .341 .337 6 33 63
Carlos Santana 64 .228 .359 .377 7 27 49

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