Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

The Washington Nationals will look to pick up their 30th win of the season when they take on the Miami Marlins (34-40) Friday. The game begins at 6:05 PM ET, with the Nationals listed as -115 favorites on the moneyline. Washington’s Josiah Gray gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Trevor Rogers.

Nationals vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Nationals vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at -105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (-105) and Under (10)

Nationals vs. Marlins Game Info

• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
• Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 6:05 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Nationals Starter Josiah Gray

• Gray makes the start for the Nationals, his 15th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 75 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Saturday, the righty threw 7 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.82, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents have a .210 batting average against him.
• Gray is trying to build upon a second-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Gray is looking for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He meets a Marlins offense that ranks 16th in the league with 323 runs while batting .243 as a squad. It has a collective .394 slugging percentage (15th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 81 home runs (14th in MLB).
• Gray has pitched 16 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs on 19 hits while striking out 23 against the Marlins this season.

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

• Rogers (3-6) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his 15th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 5.86 and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .283.
• In 14 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• Rogers has started 14 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings eight times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Nationals are batting .254 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .382 (19th in the league) with 61 home runs.
• This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Nationals in two games, and they have gone 8-for-40 with a double and three RBI over 11 innings.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have won eight, or 61.5%, of the 13 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Washington has won seven of its 12 games, or 58.3%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Washington’s games have gone over the total in 40 of their 78 chances.
• The Nationals have an ATS record of 34-44-0 in 78 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (33.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 13 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 38 of their 74 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins are 36-38-0 against the spread in their 74 games that had a posted line this season.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Josh Bell paces the Nationals with 46 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .322.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Bell ranks 53rd in homers and 21st in RBI.
• Bell takes a hitting streak of eight games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .457 with five doubles, a triple, six walks and two RBI.
• Juan Soto’s 14 home runs lead his team.
• Soto is 29th in home runs and 91st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Soto carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .281 with three doubles, a home run, 10 walks and four RBI.
• Nelson Cruz has 12 doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks while hitting .249.
• Cesar Hernandez is hitting .264 with 17 doubles, two triples and 24 walks.
• Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a double, six walks and an RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Garrett Cooper paces the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .315.
• Cooper ranks 170th in homers and 68th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Cooper has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .217 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
• Soler is currently 36th in homers and 76th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .239 with seven doubles, a triple, six home runs and 13 walks.
• Jesus Aguilar has 12 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks while batting .248.