New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/16/2022

The New York Mets (5-2) and Francisco Lindor (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-157) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks (2-5) on Saturday at 1:10 PM ET. New York’s Carlos Carrasco gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Zac Gallen.

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zac Gallen
• Game Day: Saturday, April 16, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco (0-0) gets the start for the Mets, his second of the season.
• In his most recent time out on Sunday, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, allowing one earned run while surrendering two hits.
• He has a 1.59 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .105 against him over his one appearances this season.
• He will face off against a Diamondbacks offense that ranks last in MLB with 28 total hits (on a .135 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .250 (30th in MLB) with six total home runs (16th in MLB).

Diamondbacks Starter Zac Gallen

• Gallen has been named the starter for the Diamondbacks and will make his first start this season.
• The 26-year-old righty last pitched Sunday, Oct. 3 against the Colorado Rockies, tossing six innings as the starter.
• He ended last season with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.294 WHIP in 23 games, finishing with a 4-10 record.
• The Mets rank seventh in MLB with a .254 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.418) and nine home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in five games this season and won four (80%) of those contests.
• New York has played as a favorite of -157 or more once this season and won that game.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in two of seven chances this season.
• In seven games with a spread this season, the Mets are 6-1-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks came away with 39 wins in the 137 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
• Last season, Arizona came away with a win 20 times in 82 chances when named as an underdog of +135 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Arizona’s games went over the total in 88 of its 159 opportunities.
• In 116 games with a line last season, the Diamondbacks had a mark of 56-60-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Lindor has left the yard three times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .308 with seven RBI.
• Lindor’s home runs rank him second in MLB, and he ranks ninth in RBI.
• Lindor has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last seven outings he is batting .308 with two doubles, three home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
• Pete Alonso has put up 12 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Alonso ranks 11th in home runs and second in RBI on the year.
• Alonso enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .235 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and eight RBI.
• Starling Marte has a home run while hitting .269.
• Eduardo Escobar is batting .238 with three doubles, a triple and six walks.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cooper Hummel has a home run and seven walks while batting .167.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Hummel ranks 43rd in homers and 79th in RBI.
• Christian Walker has collected a team-high two home runs.
• Walker ranks 11th overall in homers and 121st in RBI this year.
• Seth Beer paces the Diamondbacks with five runs batted in.
• Ketel Marte is batting .160 with two doubles and two walks.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +135. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.