Orioles vs. Athletics Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/4/2022

Jesus Aguilar is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Baltimore Orioles (71-61) as they get set to take on the Oakland Athletics (49-85) on Sunday. The Orioles enter the matchup as -181 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 1:35 PM ET. Spenser Watkins takes the mound for Baltimore while Adrian Martinez is Oakland’s starter for the contest.

Orioles vs. Athletics Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Athletics

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Athletics on the moneyline at +153. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Oakland Athletics (+153) and Over (8.5)

Orioles vs. Athletics Game Info

• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins
• Oakland Athletics probable starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez
• Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles vs Oakland Athletics Pitching Matchup

Orioles Starter Spenser Watkins

• Watkins makes the start for the Orioles, his 19th of the season. He is 4-5 with a 4.26 ERA and 56 strikeouts in 88 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last time out came on Tuesday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 30-year-old has a 4.26 ERA and 5.7 strikeouts per nine innings across 19 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .265 to opposing hitters.
• Watkins has four quality starts this year.
• Watkins has 11 starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Athletics offense has the 29th-ranked slugging percentage (.343) and ranks 28th in MLB play with 111 home runs. It has a collective .216 batting average, and is last in MLB with 949 total hits and 29th in MLB play scoring 452 runs.
• Watkins has thrown five innings, giving up one earned run on two hits while striking out one against the Athletics this season.

Athletics Starter Adrian Martinez

• The Athletics’ Martinez (3-3) will make his seventh start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Yankees.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 5.28 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .263 in six games this season.
• Martinez has not earned a quality start in six starts this season.
• In six starts this season, Martinez has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Orioles have scored 559 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They are batting .237 for the campaign with 142 home runs, 14th in the league.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Orioles have been favored 18 times and won 13, or 72.2%, of those games.
• Baltimore has played as a favorite of -181 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The Orioles have a 64.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 133 opportunities.
• The Orioles have an ATS record of 89-44-0 in 133 games with a spread this season.

Athletics Betting Picks & Insights

• The Athletics have been underdogs in 115 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (36.5%) in those contests.
• This year, Oakland has won 19 of 52 games when listed as at least +153 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Athletics have an implied victory probability of 39.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Oakland’s games have gone over the total in 57 of their 134 opportunities.
• The Athletics have posted a record of 64-70-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Anthony Santander has a team-best 25 home runs and 75 runs batted in.
• In all of the majors, Santander is 22nd in homers and 26th in RBI.
• Cedric Mullins’ .264 batting average leads his team.
• Mullins is 105th in homers and 92nd in RBI on the season.
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .248 with 24 doubles, 21 home runs and 31 walks.
• Mountcastle will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Austin Hays is batting .253 with 30 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 27 walks.
• Hays is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a double, a walk and an RBI.

Athletics Leaders & Batting Stats

• Sean Murphy leads the Athletics in home runs (17), runs batted in (59) and has put up a team-high batting average of .254.
• Murphy’s home run total places him 59th in the big leagues, and he is 66th in RBI.
• Tony Kemp is batting .227 with 21 doubles, four home runs and 38 walks.
• Kemp is currently 291st in home runs and 207th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Seth Brown leads the Athletics with 17 long balls.
• Chad Pinder has 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 12 walks while batting .230.