Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/22/2022

by | Jun 22, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/22/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (30-39) will be out to avoid the sweep when they host the Washington Nationals (25-46) to complete a two-game series. Bookmakers have listed the Orioles as -145 favorites for the series finale, while the Nationals are +124 underdogs. Baltimore’s Tyler Wells gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Patrick Corbin.

Orioles vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Orioles vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Orioles -145 +124 9.5 +101 -121 -1.5 +143 -172

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+124) and Over (9.5)

Orioles vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
  • Game Day: Wednesday, June 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Wells Corbin
13 GS 14
4-4 W-L 3-9
3.62 ERA 6.59
59.2 IP 69.2
12 BB 27
36 SO 57

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

  • Wells (4-4) takes the mound for the Orioles in his 14th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.62 ERA in 59 2/3 innings pitched, with 36 strikeouts.
  • His last appearance was on Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.62, with 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents are hitting .234 against him.
  • Wells is aiming for his third straight quality start.
  • Wells will try to build upon a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.2 innings per outing).
  • The opposing Nationals offense has a collective .252 batting average, and is fifth in the league with 605 total hits and 17th in MLB play with 292 runs scored. It has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and ranks 25th in home runs (58) in all of MLB.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

  • The Nationals will hand the ball to Corbin (3-9) for his 15th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 6.59 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .319.
  • In 14 starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
  • Corbin has started 14 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings nine times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
  • The Orioles have scored 278 runs this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB. They have 532 hits, 23rd in baseball, with 68 home runs (16th in the league).

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have entered the game as favorites six times this season and won four of those games.
  • Baltimore has played as a favorite of -145 or more once this season and won that game.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 59.2% chance to win.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of their 70 opportunities.
  • The Orioles have an ATS record of 43-27-0 in 70 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (32.8%) in those games.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 14-30 when favored by +124 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Washington’s games have gone over the total in 38 of their 71 opportunities.
  • The Nationals are 30-41-0 against the spread in their 71 games that had a posted line this season.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Hays is the Orioles RBI leader this season, knocking in 37 runs to go with his nine home runs and .272 batting average.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Hays’ home run total ranks him 57th, and his RBI tally ranks him 33rd.
  • Cedric Mullins is hitting .245 with 16 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 18 walks.
  • Mullins ranks 118th in home runs and 120th in RBI on the season.
  • Anthony Santander paces the Orioles with 12 home runs.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit 12 home runs to lead his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Hays 63 .272 .333 .444 9 37 66
Cedric Mullins 68 .245 .303 .377 6 26 67
Anthony Santander 63 .241 .340 .425 12 35 55
Ryan Mountcastle 57 .269 .306 .476 12 36 61
Trey Mancini 61 .283 .363 .413 6 25 65

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Josh Bell has put up a team-best batting average of .298 and paces the Nationals in runs batted in with a mark of 44.
  • Bell is 42nd in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Juan Soto has put his power on display as he leads his team with 14 home runs.
  • Soto is 20th in home runs and 76th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Nelson Cruz is hitting .250 with 11 doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
  • Cesar Hernandez is batting .266 with 16 doubles, two triples and 18 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Josh Bell 70 .298 .380 .476 11 44 75
Juan Soto 69 .207 .359 .427 14 31 51
Nelson Cruz 65 .250 .332 .383 7 38 60
César Hernández 70 .266 .314 .334 0 18 77
Maikel Franco 70 .256 .280 .380 6 32 68

Betting Tips for Orioles vs. Nationals

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +124. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

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