Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/14/2022

by | Sep 14, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/14/2022

Jesus Aguilar is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Baltimore Orioles (74-67) as they get set to take on the Washington Nationals (49-93) on Wednesday. The Orioles enter the matchup as -145 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Nationals Park at 7:05 PM ET. Baltimore’s Tyler Wells and Washington’s Patrick Corbin have been named the starters for this contest.

Orioles vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Orioles vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Orioles -145 +124 8.5 -106 -114 -1.5 +115 -138

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +124 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+124) and Over (8.5)

Orioles vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
  • Game Day: Wednesday, September 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Wells Corbin
21 GS 28
7-6 W-L 6-18
3.91 ERA 6.30
96.2 IP 141.1
25 BB 46
69 SO 120

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

  • Wells gets the start for the Orioles, his 22nd of the season. He is 7-6 with a 3.91 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he went two innings, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
  • In 21 games this season, the 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.91, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .232 against him.
  • Wells enters this game with five quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Wells enters the matchup with 12 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The opposing Nationals offense has the 21st-ranked slugging percentage (.381) and is 28th in MLB play with 119 home runs. It has a collective .252 batting average, and is 10th in MLB with 1208 total hits and 25th in MLB play scoring 548 runs.
  • In five innings over one appearance against the Nationals this season, Wells has a 0.00 ERA and a 1.400 WHIP while his opponents are batting .167.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

  • Corbin (6-18) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his 29th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on 12 hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 6.30, a 2.609 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.705 in 28 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start eight times in 28 starts this season.
  • Corbin has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Orioles are batting .235 this season, 21st in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .389 (16th in the league) with 148 home runs.
  • The Orioles have gone 7-for-19 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and three RBI in one game against the left-hander this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Orioles have won 16 out of the 23 games, or 69.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season, Baltimore has won seven of its 10 games, or 70%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of their 142 opportunities.
  • In 142 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 90-52-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 123 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (33.3%) in those contests.
  • Washington has a mark of 30-65 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +124 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 44.6% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Washington and their opponents have gone over in 69 of their 142 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Nationals have an against the spread record of 64-78-0 in 142 games with a line this season.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Anthony Santander has accumulated a team-high 27 home runs and 79 runs batted in.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Santander ranks 78th in batting average, 68th in on-base percentage, and 43rd in slugging.
  • Cedric Mullins has a club-best .263 batting average.
  • Mullins is 106th in home runs and 92nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Ryan Mountcastle paces the Orioles with 79 runs batted in.
  • Austin Hays has 31 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .250.
  • Hays takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
Anthony Santander 133 .251 .329 .456 27 79 126
Cedric Mullins 137 .263 .324 .405 14 55 140
Ryan Mountcastle 126 .247 .297 .436 22 79 121
Austin Hays 126 .250 .305 .415 15 55 118
Adley Rutschman 93 .254 .361 .446 10 32 82

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with a team-leading batting average of .254.
  • Thomas ranks 94th in home runs and 128th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Thomas carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .400 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, four walks and seven RBI.
  • Cesar Hernandez has 27 doubles, four triples, a home run and 42 walks while batting .250.
  • Among all major league hitters, Hernandez ranks 401st in home runs and 227th in RBI.
  • Nelson Cruz has a team-high 64 runs batted in.
  • Luke Voit paces the Nationals with 19 long balls.
Lane Thomas 127 .254 .308 .424 15 49 109
César Hernández 134 .250 .314 .324 1 33 130
Nelson Cruz 124 .234 .313 .337 10 64 105
Luke Voit 115 .231 .320 .413 19 62 98
Luis Garcia 74 .290 .301 .428 6 36 84

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