Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

A winning streak will come to an end Friday when the Baltimore Orioles (54-51), winners of three straight, take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (43-62), who are looking for their third win in a row. The Orioles are -168 favorites to keep their momentum rolling when the teams hit the field at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with first pitch at 7:05 PM ET. Dean Kremer takes the mound for Baltimore while Mitch Keller is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Orioles vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Pirates

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +144. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+144) and Over (8.5)

Orioles vs. Pirates Game Info

• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
• Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Orioles Starter Dean Kremer

• Kremer (3-3) takes the mound for the Orioles in his 11th start of the season. He has a 3.86 ERA in 51 1/3 innings pitched, with 41 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the right-hander went 4 1/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up six earned runs while surrendering 10 hits.
• In 10 games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.86, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .290 against him.
• Kremer is trying to record his third quality start of the season in this outing.
• Kremer will try to pick up his seventh outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
• He will face off against a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 762 total hits (on a .221 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .365 (28th in MLB) with 106 total home runs (16th in MLB).

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Keller (3-7) for his 19th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in six innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with an ERA of 4.37 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .271.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fifth quality start in a row.
• Keller has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Orioles rank 23rd in MLB with a .235 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 16th in the league (.389) and 109 home runs.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Orioles have won nine out of the 12 games, or 75%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Baltimore has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -168 moneyline set for this game.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.7% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• So far this season, Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 106 games with a total.
• The Orioles have an ATS record of 71-35-0 in 106 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been underdogs in 89 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (38.2%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 18-31 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +144 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of their 106 opportunities.
• In 106 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 56-50-0 against the spread.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a team-best batting average of .260.
• Mullins’ home runs put him 137th in MLB, and he is 78th in RBI.
• Mullins carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Anthony Santander’s 19 home runs and 59 RBI are both team-highs.
• Santander is 27th in home runs and 24th in RBI in the majors.
• Santander carries a 14-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .400 with three doubles, three home runs and 10 RBI.
• Austin Hays is hitting .258 with 24 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 23 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle is hitting .252 with 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 22 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (16), runs batted in (34) and has posted a team-high batting average of .258.
• Reynolds is 41st in homers and 156th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Reynolds brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .246 with 17 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 37 walks.
• Hayes is currently 222nd in home runs and 173rd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Ben Gamel is batting .237 with 12 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 31 walks.
• Michael Chavis has 11 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 13 walks while batting .248.